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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
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AS YZ Sterling vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight RG AH García vs HernandezMain Card · Lightweight MJ RB Jackson vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight ND JE Dumont vs EdwardsMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB RS Buchecha vs SpannMain Card · Heavyweight TA JP Alencar vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RV EM Vieira vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight MS MM Silva vs MontaguePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JM SD McVey vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DG AM Grant vs MartinettiMain Card · Bantamweight JF CD Filho vs DurdenPreliminary Card · Bantamweight FM LB Marshall vs BrennanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MG VV Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back McVey over Dumas · Middleweight Our fair value$1.54 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.58
Where to back McVey best price · region · EV vs fair $1.54
US DraftKings $1.57 +2%
UK Grosvenor $1.54 -0%
EU Pinnacle $1.58 +2%
AU Bet Right $1.54 -0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.61
Consensus117 picks · conf 94/99
McVey 80
37 Dumas
TNMTKJ pick McVey
How it endsmethod calls · McVey · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $11.57
Submission 11 $2.10
Decision 2 $11.57
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
McVey 6-2 VS 10-4 Dumas
6'4" height 6'2"
193 lb weight 185 lb
77" reach 79"
27 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 2.1
— striking accuracy 48%
— strikes absorbed / min 2.0
— striking defence 58%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.3
— takedown accuracy 35%
— takedown defence 40%
— submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 63%
Consensus80 of 117 analysts
Sharpest angleMcVey by Submission — 11 of 15 method calls
Recommendation Back McVey @ $1.58 · fair $1.54 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RX RX picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “give me Sedriques Dumas dumbass by decision.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Jackson McVey “give me Jackson McVey by submission at plus 260 here.”
WP We Want Picks picks Jackson McVey “beat Sedriques Dumas? I think he wins.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jackson McVey “I'm picking Jackson McVey here”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Jackson McVey “I'm going with the -200 favoritism for Jackson McVey... Jackson McVey is going to win this fight then.” $1.50
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Sedriques Dumas “I'm going to pick Sedriques Dumas”
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Jackson McVey “I'm going to go Jackson McVey”
AH Alonzo Hernandez picks Jackson McVey “he's Jackson McVey's fight to win. He's really I'm gonna go Jackson McVey submission I'm going Jackson McVey uh 67% are going um Jackson McVey here.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Jackson McVey “Jackson McVey will beat the wife beater.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Jackson McVey “I'm going Jackson McVey Jesus Jackson McVey”
LM LF MMA picks Jackson McVey “So, give me Jackson McVey, though.”
CA Casual picks Sedriques Dumas “Sedriques Dumas is going to a draw.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
McVey6-2
W Dumas Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Reese Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ferreira Submission · R1 Jul '25
Dumas10-4
L McVey Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Johnson Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Tiuliulin Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ruziboev KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24