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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
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AS YZ Sterling vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight RG AH García vs HernandezMain Card · Lightweight MJ RB Jackson vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight ND JE Dumont vs EdwardsMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB RS Buchecha vs SpannMain Card · Heavyweight TA JP Alencar vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RV EM Vieira vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight MS MM Silva vs MontaguePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JM SD McVey vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight DG AM Grant vs MartinettiMain Card · Bantamweight JF CD Filho vs DurdenPreliminary Card · Bantamweight FM LB Marshall vs BrennanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MG VV Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Marshall over Brennan · Lightweight Our fair value$1.18 Unibet pays above fair $1.22
Where to back Marshall best price · region · EV vs fair $1.18
US BetRivers $1.22 +3%
UK Grosvenor $1.22 +3%
EU Pinnacle $1.22 +3%
AU Unibet $1.22 +3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.22
Consensus91 picks · conf 82/99
Marshall 82
9 Brennan
BMMTTY pick Marshall
How it endsmethod calls · Marshall · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $4.50
Submission 2 $11.24
Decision 12 $1.87
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Marshall 9-3 VS 11-2 Brennan
5'9" height 5'10"
145 lb weight 145 lb
72" reach 71"
27 age 26
Orthodox stance --
3.7 strikes landed / min —
34% striking accuracy —
4.2 strikes absorbed / min —
53% striking defence —
2.7 takedowns / 15 min —
41% takedown accuracy —
50% takedown defence —
0.5 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market85% vs 82%
Consensus82 of 91 analysts
Sharpest angleMarshall by Decision — 12 of 19 method calls
Recommendation Back Marshall @ $1.22 · fair $1.18 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RX RX picks Francis Marshall “Francis Marshall as well by decision.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Francis Marshall “I think Francis Marshall should be able to kick his ass”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Francis Marshall VALUE “I like Francis Marshall. One of my most confident picks this week...just on the money line”
CM CornerTalk MMA picks Francis Marshall “What Francis Marshall myself.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Francis Marshall “Next fight is Francis Marshall and Lucas Francis Marshall. I I really just think Francis Marshall. Francis Marshall has Francis Marshall by knockout”
TP The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Lucas Brennan “I'm going just be Lucas Brennan, to submit Francis Marshall”
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Francis Marshall “Francis Marshall to get the sub on uh I I I also like that Francis Marshall's Lucas Brennan. Noah, thoughts here. five subs on his resume”
MA MaybeLuissMMA picks Francis Marshall “Francis Marshall is a lock on this Francis Marshall to win 100%. I got him versus Lucas Brennan.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Francis Marshall “Give me Francis Marshall”
LM LF MMA picks Francis Marshall “I stand by the statement that I think Francis Marshall is better everywhere”
CA Casual picks Francis Marshall “Odds are looking good for Francis Marshall. He has been looking good recently. Um won his last fight after a couple of losses. So looking for Francis Marshall here.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Francis Marshall “I'm going to go with Francis Marshall by KO as my official prediction here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Marshall9-3
W Brennan Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Silva Submission · R1 Feb '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Buzukja Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Dulgarian KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
Brennan11-2
L Marshall Decision · R3 Apr '26