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UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
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CS DF Sandhagen vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight RR BN Ridder vs NickalMain Card · Middleweight DR SP Rodriguez vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight MJ DM Jackson vs MarcosMain Card · Bantamweight SS CS Sidey vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight MJ JS Jones vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight YS MT Santos vs TatePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB RL Bekoev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight GR MR Robertson vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight QL GB Le vs BolañosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TP DM Petersen vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JM IP Miller vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back de Ridder over Nickal · Middleweight Our fair value$3.78 Coolbet pays above fair $4.15
Where to back de Ridder best price · region · EV vs fair $3.78
US ESPN BET $4.15 +10%
UK LiveScore Bet $3.85 +2%
EU Coolbet $4.15 +10%
AU SportsBet $4.00 +6%
Consensus73 picks · conf 76/99
de Ridder 23
50 Nickal
MTNWБC pick de Ridder
How it endsmethod calls · de Ridder · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $37.77
Submission 11 $6.87
Decision 6 $12.59
None 1 $75.53
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
de Ridder 21-3 VS 8-1 Nickal
6'4" height 6'1"
186 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 76"
35 age 30
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.2 strikes landed / min 2.6
47% striking accuracy 63%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 1.9
59% striking defence 64%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 3.6
60% takedown accuracy 50%
87% takedown defence 0%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 3.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market26% vs 24%
Consensus23 of 73 analysts
Sharpest anglede Ridder by Submission — 11 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back de Ridder @ $4.15 · fair $3.78 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Bo Nickal VALUE $1.28
VI VinceMMA picks Bo Nickal VALUE “I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Bo Nickal “definitely Bo Nickal by TKO.”
RW Ryan Wohl picks Bo Nickal “I think Bo Nickal will get the victory here.” $1.33
CZ Czaleo picks Bo Nickal “I've already predicted Balanos as my pick. I'm going to say he gets the knockout”
CZ Czaleo picks Reinier de Ridder “I think ADR is going to take it to Bo Nickalw Nickel. I'm going to say he gets the submission”
LE LemonMMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I think Reinier de Ridder is actually going to project B Bo Nickal Nickal.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Bo Nickal VALUE “Bo Nickal, co-main event, lock of the week.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “Pero yo voy con Reyer de Rider en esta pelea. Siento que se la va a llevar quizás por decisión, por sometimiento.” $3.75
GA GABODDS picks Bo Nickal VALUE “Me voy con Bonal”
KM KZ MMA picks Bo Nickal “I picked Bo Nickal.”
FF Fights & Frags picks Bo Nickal “I think I'm going to choose B nickel with this one. I think he'll be able to out wrestle and out grapple him.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
de Ridder21-3
L Borralho Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Allen KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Whittaker Decision · R5 Jul '25
W Nickal KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Holland Submission · R1 Jan '25
Nickal8-1
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Vieira KO/TKO · R3 Nov '25
L Ridder KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Craig Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Brundage Submission · R2 Apr '24