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UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
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CS DF Sandhagen vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight RR BN Ridder vs NickalMain Card · Middleweight DR SP Rodriguez vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight MJ DM Jackson vs MarcosMain Card · Bantamweight SS CS Sidey vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight MJ JS Jones vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight YS MT Santos vs TatePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB RL Bekoev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight GR MR Robertson vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight QL GB Le vs BolañosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TP DM Petersen vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JM IP Miller vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Smotherman over Sidey · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.04 Coolbet pays above fair $2.25
Where to back Smotherman best price · region · EV vs fair $2.04
US DraftKings $2.20 +8%
UK Grosvenor $2.17 +6%
EU Coolbet $2.25 +10%
AU SportsBet $2.18 +7%
Consensus55 picks · conf 71/99
Sidey 22
33 Smotherman
bNDMGU pick Sidey
How it endsmethod calls · Smotherman · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $16.35
Decision 12 $2.72
None 2 $16.35
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sidey 11-2 VS 12-6 Smotherman
5'11" height 5'9"
135 lb weight 136 lb
72" reach 69"
29 age 28
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 6.2
39% striking accuracy 37%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
53% striking defence 60%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
0% takedown accuracy 0%
20% takedown defence 50%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market49% vs 44%
Consensus33 of 55 analysts
Sharpest angleSmotherman by Decision — 12 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Smotherman @ $2.25 · fair $2.04 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Cameron Smotherman VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Serhiy Sidey “I got serious Serhiy Sidey 100%.”
CM Coty MMA picks Cameron Smotherman VALUE “I did bet him plus 142.” $2.42
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Serhiy Sidey VALUE “I think Siri City wins a decision.” $1.77
CZ Czaleo picks Cameron Smotherman “I'm going to say Cameron Smotherman gets the knockout in round two”
GA GABODDS picks Serhiy Sidey VALUE “Yo yo le daría el voto de confianza a Cameron” $2.24
IM IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Cameron Smotherman “I'm going to go Cameron Smotherman to be honest. I think he has the tools to win this. Probably by decision.”
KM KZ MMA picks Cameron Smotherman “I'm just going to go with Cameron Smotherman.”
RP Rparqs picks Serhiy Sidey VALUE “Serhiy Sidey moneyline, I told you guys I'm a little bit, you know, more on the city side. Um, I think he wins this fight.”
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Cameron Smotherman VALUE “it is Cameron Cameron Smotherman this week... I like him here as my favorite underdog of the week.” $2.10
CM Canal OSS - UFC, MMA, Lutas e mais... picks Serhiy Sidey VALUE “Eu concordo que o Serhiy Sidey é o favorito.”
AB ABC_GAME picks Cameron Smotherman “Я, наверное, всё-таки за Смозермена. Думаю, что он решением заберёт.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sidey11-2
W Smotherman Decision · R3 May '25
W Armfield Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Taveras Decision · R3 Jan '24
Smotherman12-6
L Asakura KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Simón Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Sidey Decision · R3 May '25
W Hadley Decision · R3 Oct '24