MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Choose a fight to analyse
CS DF Sandhagen vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight RR BN Ridder vs NickalMain Card · Middleweight DR SP Rodriguez vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight MJ DM Jackson vs MarcosMain Card · Bantamweight SS CS Sidey vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight MJ JS Jones vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight YS MT Santos vs TatePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB RL Bekoev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight GR MR Robertson vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight QL GB Le vs BolañosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TP DM Petersen vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JM IP Miller vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Jackson over Marcos · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.43 Betsson pays above fair $1.50
Where to back Jackson best price · region · EV vs fair $1.43
US FanDuel $1.44 +1%
UK Paddy Power $1.44 +1%
EU Betsson $1.50 +5%
AU PlayUp $1.44 +1%
Consensus69 picks · conf 75/99
Jackson 52
17 Marcos
Tb9HBJ pick Jackson
How it endsmethod calls · Jackson · crowd line
KO/TKO 19 $2.63
Submission 1 $50.04
Decision 15 $3.34
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jackson 15-3 VS 16-0 Marcos
5'10" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 135 lb
75" reach 69"
34 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 5.9
52% striking accuracy 52%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
71% striking defence 63%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
67% takedown accuracy 50%
55% takedown defence 87%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market70% vs 67%
Consensus52 of 69 analysts
Sharpest angleJackson by KO/TKO — 19 of 35 method calls
Recommendation Back Jackson @ $1.50 · fair $1.43 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Daniel Marcos VALUE $1.34
TD The Rambling Dad picks Montel Jackson VALUE
VI VinceMMA picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I'm going Montel Jackson by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Montel Jackson “I'm on Montel Jackson Jackson.” $1.44
CZ Czaleo picks Montel Jackson “I picked Montel Jackson Jackson already. And I'm going to have to say he gets the knockout”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Daniel Marcos VALUE “yo me voy a ir con que el peruano al final se va a poder llevar esta pelea.” $2.70
GA GABODDS picks Montel Jackson VALUE “de pronto me iría por Montel Jackson. le apostaría, sí, un voto de confianza” $2.45
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Montel Jackson VALUE “we're going to go with Montel Montel Jackson as he first step in the locky twostep as he takes on Daniel Daniel Marcos... I ultimately believe it will be the latter which leads to him getting his victory here. So, you can get Montel Jackson to win by knockout” $1.70
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Daniel Marcos VALUE “And next up, we have on the money line, Daniel Marcos. And I like Daniel Marcos in this style matchup... give me Marcos here in this style matchup. I think he wins a decision.”
CM Canal OSS - UFC, MMA, Lutas e mais... picks Daniel Marcos VALUE “Dessa vez eu acredito que Daniel Marcos vença novamente numa luta fria por pontos.”
AB ABC_GAME picks Montel Jackson “Думаю, что возможно он здесь уже об Montel Jacksonа спотакнётся. Думаю, что если Montel Jackson заберёт решение.”
WP We Want Picks picks Daniel Marcos “I think Daniel Daniel Marcos Daniel Marcos wins.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jackson15-3
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Marcos Decision · R3 May '25
W Blackshear KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Yahya KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
Marcos16-0
W Johns Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Jackson Decision · R3 May '25
W Yañez Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Castañeda Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Grant Decision · R3 Jul '23