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CS DF Sandhagen vs FigueiredoMain Card · Bantamweight RR BN Ridder vs NickalMain Card · Middleweight DR SP Rodriguez vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight MJ DM Jackson vs MarcosMain Card · Bantamweight SS CS Sidey vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight MJ JS Jones vs StephensMain Card · Lightweight YS MT Santos vs TatePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB RL Bekoev vs LoderPreliminary Card · Middleweight GR MR Robertson vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight QL GB Le vs BolañosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TP DM Petersen vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JM IP Miller vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Bolaños over Le · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.66 Everygame pays above fair $1.80
Where to back Bolaños best price · region · EV vs fair $1.66
US DraftKings $1.80 +8%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.78 +7%
EU Everygame $1.80 +8%
AU Unibet $1.78 +7%
Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Le 17
40 Bolaños
TMUBSR pick Le
How it endsmethod calls · Bolaños · crowd line
KO/TKO 9 $2.95
Decision 7 $3.80
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Le 9-3 VS 8-5 Bolaños
5'6" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 69"
34 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.0 strikes landed / min 3.7
64% striking accuracy 50%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
46% striking defence 52%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
60% takedown accuracy 100%
85% takedown defence 42%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market60% vs 56%
Consensus40 of 57 analysts
Sharpest angleBolaños by KO/TKO — 9 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Bolaños @ $1.80 · fair $1.66 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Gastón Bolaños VALUE $1.71
TD The Rambling Dad picks Quang Le VALUE $2.10
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Quang Le VALUE “I think I'm gonna I think I'm going to go with Quang Le Lee, the dog here.”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Quang Le VALUE “minha aposta é Quang Le vencendo lutando a decisão”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Quang Le VALUE “I am picking Quang Le to win this fight. I called him the savage dog underdog lock of this card.” $2.15
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Gastón Bolaños VALUE “Give me Gastón Bolaños ... I expect him to win this fight over Quang Lee.” $2.55
KM KZ MMA picks Quang Le VALUE “Kangi, I think, is going to be able to get this done, just being the more well-rounded fighter, slight underdog.”
RP Rparqs picks Quang Le VALUE “I'm going with Kang Lee.”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Quang Le “Quang Le squares off against Gastón Bolaños”
UB UFC Brasil picks Quang Le “Up next, we move to the bantamweight division. Quang Le squares off against Gastón Bolaños”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Gastón Bolaños VALUE “I do like uh Gaston Gastón Bolaños here even at this minus 142 number.” $1.70
AB ABC_GAME picks Gastón Bolaños “Ну и, наверное, всё-таки Перуани здесь чуть чуть-чуть поинтереснее. Думаю, что он здесь решение заберёт.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Le9-3
L Luna KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Bolaños Submission · R2 May '25
L Long KO/TKO · R3 Nov '24
L Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Aug '24
Bolaños8-5
W Jr. Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Le Submission · R2 May '25
W Romious Decision · R3 Nov '24
L McGhee KO/TKO · R2 Jan '24
W Phillips Decision · R3 Apr '23