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AV
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
PP
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Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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PP
Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
JS
BM
Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight
DR
NK
Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DI
SW
Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VJ
YX
Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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JM
Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JE
DE
Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MO
SD
Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
SM
MR
Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
TG
Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
NC
HC
Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
PP
MC
Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
YR
PP
Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight
JS
BM
Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight
DR
NK
Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DI
SW
Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
VJ
YX
Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CH
JM
Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JE
DE
Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MO
SD
Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
SM
MR
Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
MT
TG
Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
NC
HC
Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Lopes
over Volkanovski · Featherweight
Our fair value$2.36
pays above fair
$2.46
Best prices · Lopes
BetOnline.ag · US
$2.46
Unibet (UK) · UK
$2.32
Coolbet · EU
$2.40
TABtouch · AU
$2.32
Where to back Lopes
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.36
US
BetOnline.ag
$2.46
+4%
BetOnline.ag
$2.46
+4%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$2.32
-2%
Unibet (UK)
$2.32
-2%
EU
Coolbet
$2.40
+2%
Coolbet
$2.40
+2%
AU
TABtouch
$2.32
-2%
TABtouch
$2.32
-2%
How it endsmethod calls · Lopes · crowd line
KO/TKO
113
$2.86
Submission
10
$32.36
Decision
8
$40.45
None
6
$53.94
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Volkanovski 27-4
VS
27-8 Lopes
5'6"
height
5'11"
145 lb
weight
146 lb
72"
reach
72"
37
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
6.0
strikes landed / min
3.5
51%
striking accuracy
58%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
57%
striking defence
56%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
48%
takedown accuracy
39%
70%
takedown defence
52%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market42% vs 41%
Consensus126 of 296 analysts
Sharpest angleLopes by KO/TKO — 113 of 137 method calls
Recommendation
Back Lopes @ $2.46 · fair $2.36
+4% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SS
SledgeHammer Sports picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I think Diego Lopes gets a knockout win”
SledgeHammer Sports picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I think Diego Lopes gets a knockout win”
FI
FightCircuit picks Diego Lopes
“So yeah, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Chinny in the first two. Nah, Vulcanoska. I'm going with Lopez. Chinny Vcinoski in the first two.”
FightCircuit picks Diego Lopes
“So yeah, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Chinny in the first two. Nah, Vulcanoska. I'm going with Lopez. Chinny Vcinoski in the first two.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm picking Alexander Volkanovski to win by decision”
GLO MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm picking Alexander Volkanovski to win by decision”
GM
GLO MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I like Diego Lopes”
GLO MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I like Diego Lopes”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm on uh Alexander Alexander Volkanovski to get the upset plus money victory over Diego Lopes.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alexander Volkanovski
“I'm on uh Alexander Alexander Volkanovski to get the upset plus money victory over Diego Lopes.”
VI
VinceMMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm going to go Alexander Volkanovski Vulcganowski by unanimous decision”
VinceMMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“I'm going to go Alexander Volkanovski Vulcganowski by unanimous decision”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“we like it at this number because we have the parlay with Alexander Volkanovski and Nora Cornolle”
$1.71
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“we like it at this number because we have the parlay with Alexander Volkanovski and Nora Cornolle”
$1.71
FI
FightAddict1 picks Diego Lopes
“I do go with Diego Lopes.”
FightAddict1 picks Diego Lopes
“I do go with Diego Lopes.”
CS
Chael Sonnen picks Diego Lopes
“You had Diego Lopes by default because he's beaten up so many guys”
Chael Sonnen picks Diego Lopes
“You had Diego Lopes by default because he's beaten up so many guys”
CS
Chael Sonnen picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Help me make the case for Alexander Volkanovski because in every fight, no matter who's quicker, no matter who's experienced, in every fight, the opponent will give his opponent an opportunity to win. 100% of fights, no matter how lopsided their skills are, the other guy will give you a chance to win at some point.”
Chael Sonnen picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Help me make the case for Alexander Volkanovski because in every fight, no matter who's quicker, no matter who's experienced, in every fight, the opponent will give his opponent an opportunity to win. 100% of fights, no matter how lopsided their skills are, the other guy will give you a chance to win at some point.”
KR
Khalil Rountree picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I'm going with Diego Lopes straight up.”
Khalil Rountree picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I'm going with Diego Lopes straight up.”
CC
Colby Covington picks Diego Lopes
“I'm going against the douchebag. I'm going to fade the douchebag Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski. I'm going to go with that emo looking haircut dude Diego Lopes Lopes all the way to the winner circle. I think he's younger, he's hungrier, and he's not just fighting for a paycheck like I think Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski is doing. So, the EVENT_DETAILS is making his regards to Diego Lopes Lopes. I think he's going to get this done.”
Colby Covington picks Diego Lopes
“I'm going against the douchebag. I'm going to fade the douchebag Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski. I'm going to go with that emo looking haircut dude Diego Lopes Lopes all the way to the winner circle. I think he's younger, he's hungrier, and he's not just fighting for a paycheck like I think Alexander Volkanovskiander Volkanovski is doing. So, the EVENT_DETAILS is making his regards to Diego Lopes Lopes. I think he's going to get this done.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkanovski27-4
W
Lopes
Feb '26
W
Lopes
Apr '25
L
Topuria
Feb '24
L
Makhachev
Oct '23
W
Rodríguez
Jul '23
Lopes27-8
W
Garcia
Jun '26
L
Volkanovski
Feb '26
W
Silva
Sep '25
L
Volkanovski
Apr '25
W
Ortega
Sep '24