MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Choose a fight to analyse
AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight PP MC Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight YR PP Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight JS BM Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight DR NK Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight DI SW Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight VJ YX Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH JM Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE DE Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MO SD Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight SM MR Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MT TG Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight NC HC Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pimblett v Chandler Lightweight Our fair value $1.69 best price $1.66 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Pimblett best price · region · EV vs fair $1.69
US BetRivers $1.66 -2%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.66 -2%
EU Unibet (EU) $1.66 -2%
AU Unibet $1.66 -2%
Consensus183 picks · conf 99/99
Pimblett 107
76 Chandler
MUSbFW pick Pimblett
How it endsmethod calls · Pimblett · crowd line
KO/TKO 20 $9.81
Submission 69 $2.84
Decision 27 $7.26
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pimblett 23-3 VS 23-10 Chandler
5'10" height 5'8"
155 lb weight 156 lb
73" reach 72"
31 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 4.5
53% striking accuracy 50%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
40% striking defence 43%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
25% takedown accuracy 37%
52% takedown defence 63%
2.1 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 60%
Consensus107 of 183 analysts
Sharpest anglePimblett by Submission — 69 of 116 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE “I think Michael Chandler gets it done”
GM GLO MMA picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going to go ahead and pick Patty Pin to get it done by decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Chandler “I'm gonna take Michael Chandler.”
VI VinceMMA picks Michael Chandler VALUE “I'm going to go Michael Chandler Pimplet by round two submission”
GI GipperPicks picks Michael Chandler VALUE “Michael Michael Chandler on the money line” $2.36
GI GipperPicks picks Paddy Pimblett “Michael Michael Chandler on the money line over Patty Paddy Pimblett”
CS Chael Sonnen picks Michael Chandler “Michael Michael Chandler who came over here and with one win. Michael Michael Chandler then fought for the championship of the world”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Paddy Pimblett VALUE “I'm going to pick Paddy Pimblett on this one.”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Michael Chandler VALUE “I'd probably go with Pimplet [Michael Chandler].”
MH MMA Combat Hub picks Michael Chandler “Cejudo still picked Chandler to win the fight.”
UI UFC Insider picks Michael Chandler “No quote available as no prediction was made.”
UI UFC Insider picks Paddy Pimblett “No quote available as no prediction was made.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pimblett23-3
L Gaethje Decision · R5 Jan '26
W Chandler KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
W Green Submission · R1 Jul '24
W Ferguson Decision · R3 Dec '23
W Gordon Decision · R3 Dec '22
Chandler23-10
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Pimblett KO/TKO · R3 Apr '25
L Oliveira Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Poirier Submission · R3 Nov '22
W Ferguson KO/TKO · R2 May '22