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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight PP MC Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight YR PP Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight JS BM Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight DR NK Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight DI SW Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight VJ YX Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH JM Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE DE Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MO SD Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight SM MR Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MT TG Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight NC HC Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Pitbull over Rodríguez · Featherweight Our fair value$2.51 Wind Creek (Betfred PA) pays above fair $2.70
Where to back Pitbull best price · region · EV vs fair $2.51
US Wind Creek (Betfred PA) $2.70 +8%
UK Paddy Power $2.25 -10%
EU Coolbet $2.30 -8%
AU SportsBet $2.37 -6%
Consensus161 picks · conf 99/99
Rodríguez 93
68 Pitbull
MCS9SM pick Rodríguez
How it endsmethod calls · Pitbull · crowd line
KO/TKO 17 $5.31
Submission 4 $22.57
Decision 15 $6.02
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodríguez 16-5 VS 37-8 Pitbull
height 5'6"
weight 145 lb
reach 67"
33 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 3.5
46% striking accuracy 51%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.1
52% striking defence 64%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
27% takedown accuracy 33%
58% takedown defence 86%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market40% vs 37%
Consensus68 of 161 analysts
Sharpest anglePitbull by KO/TKO — 17 of 36 method calls
Recommendation Back Pitbull @ $2.70 · fair $2.51 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Yayer Rodriguez. Probably to get it done by knockout or later round finish”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Yair Rodríguez “I'm going with Yair Rodríguez Yair Rodríguez. That's my side I'm taking.”
VI VinceMMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I'm going to go NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Yair Rodríguez by decision”
FI FightAddict1 picks Patrício Pitbull “I would say Patrício Pitbull.”
CS Chael Sonnen picks Patrício Pitbull “if Patrício Patrício Pitbull on day one can play this game well enough to beat Yair Rodríguez”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Patrício Pitbull VALUE “I'm going with Patricio [Patrício Pitbull] for sure.”
CC Colby Covington picks Yair Rodríguez “I'm going with Yair Rodríguez in this fight. I think he's bigger, stronger, faster, and obviously younger. So, Patricio's been, you know, in a lot of wars in that second fiddle promotion. So, I think he left his best days behind him and he's just looking to come get a paid jump over here and and hopefully get a little hype before he ends his career. But so I'm going to have to go with the younger fresher Yair Rodríguez Rodríguez in this fight.”
SL SLEEPY picks Yair Rodríguez “I might have to go Yair Rodríguez for this one. I don't know anything about Patrício Pitbull to be honest.”
MM MMA Messenger picks Yair Rodríguez “Think that I talked to the UFC about as well. Uh maybe after this fight, you know, uh having the the win on Saturday, um fighting for the championship is the is the goal, right?”
PE Pat Egan picks Yair Rodríguez “I do think Yair Rodríguez takes this one though.” $1.53
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Yair Rodríguez VALUE “I think we could easily see a KO early on in this fight.”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Patrício Pitbull “Patrício Pitbull, I love him, but uh he he was knocked out early on just recently.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodríguez16-5
W Pitbull Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ortega Submission · R3 Feb '24
L Volkanovski KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
W Emmett Submission · R2 Feb '23
W Ortega KO/TKO · R1 Jul '22
Pitbull37-8
L Pico Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Ige Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Apr '25