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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight PP MC Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight YR PP Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight JS BM Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight DR NK Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight DI SW Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight VJ YX Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH JM Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE DE Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MO SD Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight SM MR Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MT TG Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight NC HC Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Dumas over Oleksiejczuk · Middleweight Our fair value$3.44 Unibet pays above fair $4.60
Where to back Dumas best price · region · EV vs fair $3.44
US betPARX $4.60 +34%
UK Unibet (UK) $4.60 +34%
EU Unibet (EU) $4.60 +34%
AU Unibet $4.60 +34%
Consensus68 picks · conf 75/99
Oleksiejczuk 42
26 Dumas
TCgMFT pick Oleksiejczuk
How it endsmethod calls · Dumas · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $20.63
Submission 2 $20.63
Decision 8 $5.16
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Oleksiejczuk 22-9 VS 10-4 Dumas
6'0" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 185 lb
74" reach 79"
31 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 2.1
50% striking accuracy 48%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
58% striking defence 58%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
43% takedown accuracy 35%
48% takedown defence 40%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market29% vs 22%
Consensus26 of 68 analysts
Sharpest angleDumas by Decision — 8 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Back Dumas @ $4.60 · fair $3.44 +34% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I will take Michał Oleksiejczuk.”
WA WavyMMA picks Sedriques Dumas “I'm gonna roll with the brother. Sedriques Sedriques Dumas.”
GR grimMMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “And we got Sedriques Dumas. All right. Michał Oleksiejczuk.”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Sedriques Dumas “I do believe that Michał Oleksiejczuk can potentially replicate some of that.”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “I could see him getting a KO.” $1.53
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Sedriques Dumas “lo veo ganando este duelo también al polaco.”
PN Podcaphilia Network picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I'm saying Michał Oleksiejczuk Ola Jek, gets the win, breaks the skid, saves his job.”
AS Austin Shobe picks Sedriques Dumas “I'm going to have to go with my boy Sadrius Dumas on this one”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk “I am taking him in this fight, though.”
SM Script MMA picks Sedriques Dumas “I picked Sedriques Dumas and I'm still picking Sedriques Dumas.”
WP We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “Sedriques Sedriques Dumas is not the pick. Michał Oleksiejczuk will be the pick.”
UF Ultimate fight fan picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE “Michał Oleksiejczuk will beat Sugex Dumas”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L Magomedov Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Barriault Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Meerschaert KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Dumas KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Aug '24
Dumas10-4
L McVey Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Johnson Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Tiuliulin Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ruziboev KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24