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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight PP MC Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight YR PP Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight JS BM Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight DR NK Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight DI SW Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight VJ YX Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH JM Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE DE Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MO SD Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight SM MR Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MT TG Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight NC HC Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Miller over Hooper · Lightweight Our fair value$5.55 DraftKings pays above fair $6.75
Where to back Miller best price · region · EV vs fair $5.55
US DraftKings $6.75 +22%
UK LiveScore Bet $6.25 +13%
EU Betsson $6.50 +17%
AU SportsBet $6.40 +15%
Consensus117 picks · conf 94/99
Hooper 90
27 Miller
MTLMBO pick Hooper
How it endsmethod calls · Miller · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $22.18
Submission 5 $13.31
Decision 4 $16.64
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hooper 16-4-1 VS 38-19 Miller
6'1" height 5'8"
155 lb weight 156 lb
74" reach 71"
26 age 42
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.0
52% striking accuracy 42%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
36% striking defence 56%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
24% takedown accuracy 44%
55% takedown defence 49%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market18% vs 15%
Consensus27 of 117 analysts
Sharpest angleMiller by Submission — 5 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Back Miller @ $6.75 · fair $5.55 +22% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Chase Hooper VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Chase Hooper by knockout in the very first round”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Chase Hooper “Chase Hooper is my pick”
MD mdminds picks Chase Hooper VALUE
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Jim Miller VALUE “I still like the bet.” $4.50
GI GipperPicks picks Chase Hooper VALUE “Chase Chase Hooper on the money line”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Jim Miller VALUE “We're both picking Jim Miller in this one.”
PE Pat Egan picks Chase Hooper “I kind of like Chase Hooper in this one.”
KU Kunath picks Chase Hooper VALUE “Jim Miller, for as much as a legend as he is, I think he's really up against it this week against Chase Hooper.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Chase Hooper “me voy with Hooper.”
TT Takedown Titan picks Chase Hooper “Still think he wins against Jim Miller.” $1.11
WE WestmanHQ picks Chase Hooper “I think it's obviously Chase Hooper.”
MM MMAInstigator picks Chase Hooper VALUE “If you're looking for a big safety parlay, I could go Paddy Pimblett Paddy Pimblett, Chase Hooper.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hooper16-4-1
L Jr. KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Miller Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Guida Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Borshchev Submission · R2 May '24
Miller38-19
W Gordon Submission · R1 May '26
L Hooper Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Jackson Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Green Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Benítez Submission · R3 Jan '24