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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight PP MC Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight YR PP Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight JS BM Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight DR NK Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight DI SW Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight VJ YX Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH JM Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE DE Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MO SD Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight SM MR Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MT TG Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight NC HC Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Raposo over Mudaerji · Flyweight Our fair value$2.24 Wind Creek (Betfred PA) pays above fair $2.75
Where to back Raposo best price · region · EV vs fair $2.24
US Wind Creek (Betfred PA) $2.75 +23%
UK Paddy Power $2.25 +0%
EU Coolbet $2.45 +9%
AU SportsBet $2.29 +2%
Consensus66 picks · conf 74/99
Mudaerji 28
38 Raposo
SJT1TM pick Mudaerji
How it endsmethod calls · Raposo · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $16.42
Submission 3 $16.42
Decision 16 $3.08
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mudaerji 15-12-2 VS 10-3 Raposo
6'7" height 5'5"
192 lb weight 125 lb
79" reach 65"
— age 27
Orthodox stance Switch
3.0 strikes landed / min 2.3
63% striking accuracy 33%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
61% striking defence 51%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
53% takedown accuracy 60%
72% takedown defence 50%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market45% vs 36%
Consensus38 of 66 analysts
Sharpest angleRaposo by Decision — 16 of 22 method calls
Recommendation Back Raposo @ $2.75 · fair $2.24 +23% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Mitch Raposo VALUE “I'm going to go ahead and pick Mitropos to win in first round submission”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mitch Raposo “I'm taking Mitch Raposo.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Mitch Raposo VALUE “We're going to ride with it.” $2.71
MM MMAInstigator picks Mitch Raposo VALUE “I'm still leaning towards him because at least this dude has all this UFC experience.”
PN Podcaphilia Network picks Mitch Raposo “I am going to uh throw a hat with Mitch Raposo to get the win in this one.”
AS Austin Shobe picks Mitch Raposo “I'm going to go with the other guy because he's just a seasoned vet”
CT Combat Sports Today picks Su Mudaerji “I still going to take Suma and I guess take give me Suma by decision.”
SM Script MMA picks Su Mudaerji VALUE “I'm going Submergie.”
WP We Want Picks picks Mitch Raposo VALUE “I'm going to go with the dog here. I think Mitch Raposo Mitch Raposo Raposo wins”
UF Ultimate fight fan picks Su Mudaerji “I think Sumadeji will get the win”
TP Tony's Picks picks Su Mudaerji “I lean the favorite in that one.” $1.57
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Su Mudaerji “my subscribers and I went with Su Mudaerji.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mudaerji15-12-2
W Aguilar Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Borjas Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Raposo Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Johnson Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Elliott Submission · R1 Dec '23
Raposo10-3
W Nascimento Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Maksum Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Mudaerji Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Lima Decision · R3 Jun '24