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Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight
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Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MO
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Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Elkins
over Erosa · Featherweight
Our fair value$3.56
pays above fair
$4.15
Best prices · Elkins
Bovada · US
$4.15
Virgin Bet · UK
$3.25
Coolbet · EU
$3.50
PlayUp · AU
$3.30
Where to back Elkins
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.56
US
Bovada
$4.15
+17%
Bovada
$4.15
+17%
UK
Virgin Bet
$3.25
-9%
Virgin Bet
$3.25
-9%
EU
Coolbet
$3.50
-2%
Coolbet
$3.50
-2%
AU
PlayUp
$3.30
-7%
PlayUp
$3.30
-7%
How it endsmethod calls · Elkins · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$35.56
Submission
2
$17.78
Decision
6
$5.93
None
1
$35.56
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Erosa 0-0
VS
29-11 Elkins
6'1"
height
5'10"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
74"
reach
71"
36
age
42
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
6.2
strikes landed / min
3.4
48%
striking accuracy
38%
6.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
48%
striking defence
51%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
48%
takedown accuracy
34%
58%
takedown defence
56%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market28% vs 24%
Consensus33 of 96 analysts
Sharpest angleElkins by Decision — 6 of 10 method calls
Recommendation
Back Elkins @ $4.15 · fair $3.56
+17% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm going to go ahead and pick him to win by um decision”
GLO MMA picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I'm going to go ahead and pick him to win by um decision”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Julian Erosa
“I'm taking Julian Erosa to get a I think it's going to go to a decision.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Julian Erosa
“I'm taking Julian Erosa to get a I think it's going to go to a decision.”
GI
GipperPicks picks Darren Elkins
“Julian Julian Erosa ... Darren Elkins is more than likely going to try and grapple”
GipperPicks picks Darren Elkins
“Julian Julian Erosa ... Darren Elkins is more than likely going to try and grapple”
KR
Khalil Rountree picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I got Dar Darren Elkins for sure.”
Khalil Rountree picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I got Dar Darren Elkins for sure.”
KR
Khalil Rountree picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I'm going to go with that one [Arosa].”
Khalil Rountree picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“I'm going to go with that one [Arosa].”
SL
SLEEPY picks Darren Elkins
“If I was to guess 11 wins by now, but he's bro, he's 30 and 12.”
SLEEPY picks Darren Elkins
“If I was to guess 11 wins by now, but he's bro, he's 30 and 12.”
EB
ESPN BET picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“We're going to go with Julian Erosa over Darren Elkins.”
ESPN BET picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“We're going to go with Julian Erosa over Darren Elkins.”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“me voy a ir with Darren Alkins.”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Julian Erosa VALUE
“me voy a ir with Darren Alkins.”
WE
WestmanHQ picks Julian Erosa
“I'm going to go Julian Rosa. I mean, just cuz he's a heavy favorite.”
WestmanHQ picks Julian Erosa
“I'm going to go Julian Rosa. I mean, just cuz he's a heavy favorite.”
MM
MMAInstigator picks Julian Erosa
“I'm leaning Julian Erosa.”
MMAInstigator picks Julian Erosa
“I'm leaning Julian Erosa.”
TC
The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Julian Erosa
“I see Julian Erosa. go Julian Erosa and I'm going to do it absolutely recognize. Now, Darren Elkins I love Darren Elkins, but I'm going to”
The W.A.D.E. Concept picks Julian Erosa
“I see Julian Erosa. go Julian Erosa and I'm going to do it absolutely recognize. Now, Darren Elkins I love Darren Elkins, but I'm going to”
GP
Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I actually like Darren Elkins money line here.”
$4.00
Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Darren Elkins VALUE
“I actually like Darren Elkins money line here.”
$4.00
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Erosa0-0
L
Douglas
Mar '26
L
Costa
May '25
W
Elkins
Apr '25
W
Rodriguez
Jul '24
W
Ramos
Mar '24
Elkins29-11
L
Erosa
Apr '25
W
Pineda
Oct '24
W
Brown
Oct '23
L
Pearce
Dec '22
W
Connelly
Apr '22