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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight PP MC Pimblett vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight YR PP Rodríguez vs PitbullMain Card · Featherweight JS BM Silva vs MitchellMain Card · Featherweight DR NK Reyes vs KrylovMain Card · Light Heavyweight DI SW Ige vs WoodsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight VJ YX Jandiroba vs XiaonanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CH JM Hooper vs MillerPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE DE Erosa vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight MO SD Oleksiejczuk vs DumasEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight SM MR Mudaerji vs RaposoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight MT TG Tulio vs GoreEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight NC HC Cornolle vs CowanEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Mitchell over Silva · Featherweight Our fair value$3.28 Bovada pays above fair $3.75
Where to back Mitchell best price · region · EV vs fair $3.28
US Bovada $3.75 +14%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.63 -20%
EU Betsson $2.75 -16%
AU SportsBet $2.70 -18%
Consensus144 picks · conf 99/99
Silva 95
49 Mitchell
NCSWCC pick Silva
How it endsmethod calls · Mitchell · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $31.67
Submission 21 $9.05
Decision 29 $6.55
None 2 $95.02
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Silva 16-3 VS 18-4 Mitchell
5'7" height 5'10"
145 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 70"
29 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.7 strikes landed / min 2.3
41% striking accuracy 58%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 1.6
68% striking defence 58%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 3.5
43% takedown accuracy 41%
51% takedown defence 33%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 1.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market31% vs 27%
Consensus49 of 144 analysts
Sharpest angleMitchell by Decision — 29 of 58 method calls
Recommendation Back Mitchell @ $3.75 · fair $3.28 +14% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Jean Silva is going to get this done in the first round by knockout”
GM GLO MMA picks Jean Silva VALUE “Jean Silva first first or second round knockout”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Bryce Mitchell “I got Bryce Mitchell here upsetting.”
VI VinceMMA picks Jean Silva VALUE “I'm going to go NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 Jean Silva by knockout in round one, maybe round two TKO”
FI FightAddict1 picks Bryce Mitchell “I really do wish he beats this Jean Silva guy.”
GI GipperPicks picks Bryce Mitchell “I know there's a lot of movement on Bryce Bryce Mitchell”
KR Khalil Rountree picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE “I'm going with with John [Bryce Mitchell], man.”
CC Colby Covington picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE “I'm taking Bryce Mitchell Bryce Mitchell Mitchell just because the fact that the money line I mean he's has like plus 250. Like you can never get hurt betting as a plus 250 dog. So you know I got to go with Bryce Mitchell. I think uh Jean Silva Jean Silva Silva is unproven. Yeah, he has some knockouts against some regional promotion fighters, but he hasn't been in a high level fight and he hasn't been on a pay-per-view yet. So, this is his first big spot where he's going to feel the pressure, the media, the press conference, and all that goes into being a star in the UFC. So, I'm going to go with Bryce Mitchell. I don't agree with what he says, but I do agree that he is the play of the weekend and the underdog pick.” $3.50
SL SLEEPY picks Jean Silva “I'm going Jean Silva. [__] with Bryce Mitchell. But Jean Silva, come on, bro.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Jean Silva “So, I'm going with Jean Jean Silva on that one.”
UI UFC Insider picks Bryce Mitchell “No quote available as no prediction was made.”
PE Pat Egan picks Bryce Mitchell “Bryce Mitchell's going to do enough in this fight on the feet to eventually get it to the ground and submit Jean Silva and end up winning this one.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Silva16-3
W Allen Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Lopes KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
W Mitchell Submission · R2 Apr '25
W Baghdasaryan KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R3 Jul '24
Mitchell18-4
W Luna Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Silva Submission · R2 Apr '25
W Gracie KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Emmett KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23