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Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Almeida
over Spivac · Heavyweight
Our fair value$1.21
pays above fair
$1.22
Best prices · Almeida
FanDuel · US
$1.20
LiveScore Bet · UK
$1.20
NordicBet · EU
$1.22
TABtouch · AU
$1.20
Where to back Almeida
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.21
US
FanDuel
$1.20
-1%
FanDuel
$1.20
-1%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.20
-1%
LiveScore Bet
$1.20
-1%
EU
NordicBet
$1.22
+1%
NordicBet
$1.22
+1%
AU
TABtouch
$1.20
-1%
TABtouch
$1.20
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Almeida · crowd line
KO/TKO
10
$3.74
Submission
18
$2.08
Decision
3
$12.48
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almeida 22-4
VS
17-6 Spivac
6'3"
height
6'3"
237 lb
weight
251 lb
79"
reach
78"
35
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
3.5
64%
striking accuracy
49%
0.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
40%
striking defence
50%
6.8
takedowns / 15 min
4.6
59%
takedown accuracy
65%
75%
takedown defence
70%
2.6
submissions / 15 min
0.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market83% vs 82%
Consensus31 of 36 analysts
Sharpest angleAlmeida by Submission — 18 of 31 method calls
Recommendation
Back Almeida @ $1.22 · fair $1.21
+1% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CC
Combat Sports Central picks Jailton Almeida
“Jailton Almeida over Serghei Spivac I think Jailton Almeida gets the submission”
Combat Sports Central picks Jailton Almeida
“Jailton Almeida over Serghei Spivac I think Jailton Almeida gets the submission”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jailton Almeida
“I like Jailton Almeida here a lot Jailton Almeida eventually knocks her out”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jailton Almeida
“I like Jailton Almeida here a lot Jailton Almeida eventually knocks her out”
MD
mdminds picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I love money mu and I honestly hope he pulls it off”
mdminds picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I love money mu and I honestly hope he pulls it off”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jailton Almeida
“I'm gonna go with the favorite favorite Jailton Almeida”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Jailton Almeida
“I'm gonna go with the favorite favorite Jailton Almeida”
DR
DRYWALL picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 [__] it we'll do it live because what is this [__] we'll do it live yeah I said ala Subs him in a second no I'm not doing that because yeah there's just I don't believe that Jailton Almeida has the same mentality as NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 which is to be a mixed martial artist and I think gilon even yeah who did he recently beat and he did it the same old goddamn way yeah like Romanov which they L that up to him that was an alley like so easy such an easy tossup for for Galatin I don't think though yeah and exactly he showed me that against Romanov he does not have that same mentality he really still thinks that he can just be this top pressure guy that takes people down and like oh what happened against Curtis was a fluke I don't believe that it was a fluke I picked Curtis in that fight I don't believe it's a fluke because I never thought that he has the sort of top control to do that to the the guys in the top 10 and I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 does have an approach to this game that it's the correct one so I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 yeah I know that I wrote my typology pick right now is uh Jailton Almeida but no I'm changing that up all right Yu Pros got taking on uh what we call this guy like I I want to call him what is the Zeke Elliot jerseys crop top Jamahal Hill crop top Jamahal Hill NOT_IN_ROSTER_53 Top Jamahal Hill NOT_IN_ROSTER_53 Top Jamahal Hill I mean this guy is getting torn up by everybody he just has brought this upon himself with all the Pereira nonsense and yeah like but I that's why I preface it he's still you know he's not a bum like he is an idiot and probably doesn't have the best PR team or any PR team or doesn't know what PR is probably um however Jamahal Hill is a like his base is MMA and he TR yeah look at these odds there you there you have it Jamahal Hill Hills is a favor it's a pickup pretty much so Jamahal Hill is I don't think that the bookmakers forget that this guy's clean boxing he it's it's awkward but and he and obviously the Pereira fight is the most recent thing we have in our brain and he was completely nullified kickboxing wise but he had has a bit of a body kick like this teep kick up the front that's kind of kind of nasty he he is sort of like a knockoff John Jones but with more power in the hands and so I'm going with NOT_IN_ROSTER_52 I think yui does knock him out in the second however be prepared like uh yeah be prepared for the worst I think that there's a law out there for that Murphy's Law um just expect that because that's life and the world is chaos that we try to put language to in order to you know better understand our position in relation to the blue and red light around us which is matter and you know stuff like that so yri prashka we love him he's literally me bro he's just like me but like yeah I am very very worried here I know that a lot of people are not but I think that there is reasons to be worried for all yui and that's just yeah because yeah watch just watch Jamahal Hill come out and just High te [__] and let let the tism take over and he knocks him out somehow I mean and NOT_IN_ROSTER_52 that's the thing about NOT_IN_ROSTER_52's like he's yeah he's too much of a warrior he's too much of a warrior not enough of a gamer sometimes and I think that yeah when you're guys at this weight class anything can happen especially this weight class it seems like just this and yeah 170 185 and 205 for me really make no [__] sense 185 and 205 probably really do it out 170 just has guys I don't care about well yeah I I really like that fight I mean this is going to be a banger I think somebody does go out and then the the fact that everybody is sort of saying yeah somebody goes out it's like oh [__] it's gonna go to decision and Jamahal Hill's gonna win a decision shit's gonna be ass but yeah all right we can move on”
DRYWALL picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 [__] it we'll do it live because what is this [__] we'll do it live yeah I said ala Subs him in a second no I'm not doing that because yeah there's just I don't believe that Jailton Almeida has the same mentality as NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 which is to be a mixed martial artist and I think gilon even yeah who did he recently beat and he did it the same old goddamn way yeah like Romanov which they L that up to him that was an alley like so easy such an easy tossup for for Galatin I don't think though yeah and exactly he showed me that against Romanov he does not have that same mentality he really still thinks that he can just be this top pressure guy that takes people down and like oh what happened against Curtis was a fluke I don't believe that it was a fluke I picked Curtis in that fight I don't believe it's a fluke because I never thought that he has the sort of top control to do that to the the guys in the top 10 and I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 does have an approach to this game that it's the correct one so I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_49 yeah I know that I wrote my typology pick right now is uh Jailton Almeida but no I'm changing that up all right Yu Pros got taking on uh what we call this guy like I I want to call him what is the Zeke Elliot jerseys crop top Jamahal Hill crop top Jamahal Hill NOT_IN_ROSTER_53 Top Jamahal Hill NOT_IN_ROSTER_53 Top Jamahal Hill I mean this guy is getting torn up by everybody he just has brought this upon himself with all the Pereira nonsense and yeah like but I that's why I preface it he's still you know he's not a bum like he is an idiot and probably doesn't have the best PR team or any PR team or doesn't know what PR is probably um however Jamahal Hill is a like his base is MMA and he TR yeah look at these odds there you there you have it Jamahal Hill Hills is a favor it's a pickup pretty much so Jamahal Hill is I don't think that the bookmakers forget that this guy's clean boxing he it's it's awkward but and he and obviously the Pereira fight is the most recent thing we have in our brain and he was completely nullified kickboxing wise but he had has a bit of a body kick like this teep kick up the front that's kind of kind of nasty he he is sort of like a knockoff John Jones but with more power in the hands and so I'm going with NOT_IN_ROSTER_52 I think yui does knock him out in the second however be prepared like uh yeah be prepared for the worst I think that there's a law out there for that Murphy's Law um just expect that because that's life and the world is chaos that we try to put language to in order to you know better understand our position in relation to the blue and red light around us which is matter and you know stuff like that so yri prashka we love him he's literally me bro he's just like me but like yeah I am very very worried here I know that a lot of people are not but I think that there is reasons to be worried for all yui and that's just yeah because yeah watch just watch Jamahal Hill come out and just High te [__] and let let the tism take over and he knocks him out somehow I mean and NOT_IN_ROSTER_52 that's the thing about NOT_IN_ROSTER_52's like he's yeah he's too much of a warrior he's too much of a warrior not enough of a gamer sometimes and I think that yeah when you're guys at this weight class anything can happen especially this weight class it seems like just this and yeah 170 185 and 205 for me really make no [__] sense 185 and 205 probably really do it out 170 just has guys I don't care about well yeah I I really like that fight I mean this is going to be a banger I think somebody does go out and then the the fact that everybody is sort of saying yeah somebody goes out it's like oh [__] it's gonna go to decision and Jamahal Hill's gonna win a decision shit's gonna be ass but yeah all right we can move on”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Jailton Almeida
“go ahead and take Al made it if you must bet on that one”
High Low Sports Podcast picks Jailton Almeida
“go ahead and take Al made it if you must bet on that one”
JG
Joe Giannetti picks Serghei Spivac
“Jailton Almeida minus 470 I'm going to go with Theus 470”
Joe Giannetti picks Serghei Spivac
“Jailton Almeida minus 470 I'm going to go with Theus 470”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Jailton Almeida
“yo creo that Jailton Almeida va a poder ganar”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Jailton Almeida
“yo creo that Jailton Almeida va a poder ganar”
KU
Kunath picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I'm on an island when it comes to thinking that survey speac can win so I'm going to put speac in there and value play consideration”
Kunath picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I'm on an island when it comes to thinking that survey speac can win so I'm going to put speac in there and value play consideration”
KU
Kunath picks Jailton Almeida
“I think Jailton Almeida is going to run through guys who can't wrestle but if guys can wrestle I think he's going to struggle”
Kunath picks Jailton Almeida
“I think Jailton Almeida is going to run through guys who can't wrestle but if guys can wrestle I think he's going to struggle”
AM
ANCHOR MMA picks Jailton Almeida
“everybody's picking Jailton Almeida but this fight against spiva could go either way”
ANCHOR MMA picks Jailton Almeida
“everybody's picking Jailton Almeida but this fight against spiva could go either way”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almeida22-4
L
Kuniev
Feb '26
L
Volkov
Oct '25
W
Spivac
Jan '25
W
Romanov
Jun '24
L
Blaydes
Mar '24
Spivac17-6
W
Delija
Feb '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jun '25
L
Almeida
Jan '25
W
Tybura
Aug '24
L
Gane
Sep '23