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UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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IM RM Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight MD UN Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight JP JH Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight JA SS Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight RR KH Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight RB PT Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AB ZR Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight BG BE Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GD CF Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight AP KR Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight MG RN Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight BS RT Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight TU CC Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Guskov over Elekana · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.22 TAB pays above fair $1.28
Where to back Guskov best price · region · EV vs fair $1.22
US FanDuel $1.25 +2%
UK Paddy Power $1.25 +2%
EU NordicBet $1.28 +5%
AU TAB $1.28 +5%
Consensus27 picks · conf 51/99
Guskov 24
3 Elekana
TBMTFT pick Guskov
How it endsmethod calls · Guskov · crowd line
KO/TKO 17 $1.44
Decision 2 $12.23
None 1 $24.45
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Guskov 16-3 VS 9-2 Elekana
6'3" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 205 lb
76" reach 78"
33 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.1 strikes landed / min —
48% striking accuracy —
3.7 strikes absorbed / min —
47% striking defence —
0.0 takedowns / 15 min —
0% takedown accuracy —
66% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market82% vs 78%
Consensus24 of 27 analysts
Sharpest angleGuskov by KO/TKO — 17 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Guskov @ $1.28 · fair $1.22 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CC Combat Sports Central picks Bogdan Guskov “I think Bogdan Guskov gets it”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bogdan Guskov “I feel like ban is probably going to win this fight” $1.28
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Bogdan Guskov “we got Bogdan Guskov by knockout within distance”
MR MMA the Ronin picks Billy Elekana “primero al con merada Billy Elekana con el tema del corte doble corte el día de ayer presentó en la foto al parecer merada desb presenta dos cortes”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Billy Elekana “eu vou de reiz vencendo por knockout”
WP We Want Picks picks Bogdan Guskov VALUE “I think Bogden gets the win”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bogdan Guskov “I got a Bogdan Guskov complex”
TP Tony's Picks picks Bogdan Guskov “I do think bust uh Bogdan Guskov wins and this one ain't going the distance at all” $1.29
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Bogdan Guskov “I've been picking bog Don gusov elak is stepping in on short notice and from what I've seen from him through the pfl fights I feel as though he has I don't know relatively average skills” $1.29
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bogdan Guskov “I don't mind Bogdan Guskov at 99,100 he is taking on a newcomer he does have a ton of power”
TU Thiago Moisés UFC picks Bogdan Guskov “eu vou com o Russo”
PR PredictionStrike picks Bogdan Guskov “I'm going bogon goose SCU here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Guskov16-3
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Elekana Submission · R2 Jan '25
W Spann KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Pauga KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
L Oezdemir Submission · R1 Sep '23
Elekana9-2
W Tafa Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Christian Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Aslan Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Guskov Submission · R2 Jan '25