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UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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IM RM Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight MD UN Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight JP JH Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight JA SS Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight RR KH Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight RB PT Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AB ZR Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight BG BE Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GD CF Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight AP KR Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight MG RN Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight BS RT Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight TU CC Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Barcelos over Talbott · Bantamweight Our fair value$5.31 Betsson pays above fair $9.00
Where to back Barcelos best price · region · EV vs fair $5.31
US Caesars $8.50 +60%
UK Grosvenor $8.50 +60%
EU Betsson $9.00 +69%
AU Ladbrokes AU $8.75 +65%
Consensus38 picks · conf 60/99
Barcelos 13
25 Talbott
bBJERD pick Barcelos
How it endsmethod calls · Barcelos · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $5.31
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Barcelos 21-5 VS 9-0 Talbott
5'7" height 5'10"
136 lb weight 135 lb
67" reach 70"
39 age 27
Orthodox stance Switch
5.2 strikes landed / min 8.4
51% striking accuracy 55%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
61% striking defence 51%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
32% takedown accuracy 0%
85% takedown defence 90%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market19% vs 11%
Consensus13 of 38 analysts
Sharpest angleBarcelos by KO/TKO — 5 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Back Barcelos @ $9.00 · fair $5.31 +69% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CC Combat Sports Central picks Payton Talbott “Payton Talbott over Raoni Barcelos think the line is too wide but still Payton Talbott is a clear favorite with a huge potential in the bantamweight Division”
CC Combat Sports Central picks Payton Talbott “I'm taking Payton Talbott in this”
MD mdminds picks Raoni Barcelos VALUE “I think this fight will be a fun one”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Raoni Barcelos “my subscribers and I pick are picking I'm Payton TBO” $1.09
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Raoni Barcelos VALUE “there's actually some money on Raoni Barcelos 6% of the bets but 23% of the handle so there is some money going down on him”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Payton Talbott “I'm confident Payton Talbott should be able to take out Hy Raoni Barcelos”
DR DRYWALL picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I picked Payton Talbott to win by decision”
JG Joe Giannetti picks Raoni Barcelos “Payton Payton Talbottt versus Raoni Barcelos”
SP Sparring Sessions Podcast picks Payton Talbott VALUE “I would have given it to like Payton Talbott Raoni Barcelos or like Bogdan Guskov maybe as well cuz I feel like there's going to those fights have a much better chance to have like a flash KO”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Payton Talbott “acho que vai dar vitória do Talbot”
EM El Barbeta Mufa picks Raoni Barcelos “yo voy con él además tiene el pelo parecido”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Payton Talbott “I think I'm going to be fading Payton Talbott”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Barcelos21-5
W Jackson Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Simón Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Garbrandt Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Talbott Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Quiñonez Submission · R3 Feb '24
Talbott9-0
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lima Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Ghemmouri KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Saaiman KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24