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UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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IM RM Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight MD UN Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight JP JH Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight JA SS Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight RR KH Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight RB PT Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AB ZR Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight BG BE Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GD CF Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight AP KR Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight MG RN Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight BS RT Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight TU CC Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Holland over de Ridder · Middleweight Our fair value$1.92 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.16
Where to back Holland best price · region · EV vs fair $1.92
US BetOnline.ag $2.15 +12%
UK Grosvenor $2.04 +6%
EU Pinnacle $2.16 +12%
AU Neds $2.10 +9%
Consensus55 picks · conf 71/99
de Ridder 20
35 Holland
TJUTMT pick de Ridder
How it endsmethod calls · Holland · crowd line
KO/TKO 14 $2.60
Submission 3 $12.15
Decision 2 $18.23
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
de Ridder 21-3 VS 28-15 Holland
6'4" height 6'3"
186 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 81"
35 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.2
47% striking accuracy 49%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
59% striking defence 50%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
60% takedown accuracy 38%
87% takedown defence 54%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market52% vs 46%
Consensus35 of 55 analysts
Sharpest angleHolland by KO/TKO — 14 of 19 method calls
Recommendation Back Holland @ $2.16 · fair $1.92 +12% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CC Combat Sports Central picks Reinier de Ridder “I have Reinier de Ridder by submission at plus 330 for half a unit” $4.30
CC Combat Sports Central picks Reinier de Ridder “I got Reinier de Ridder I got Jamal have Reinier de Ridder uh via submission at plus 330 on DraftKings I have Reinier de Ridder Reinier de Ridder round two and round three”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I'm going Holland here” $2.05
MD mdminds picks Kevin Holland VALUE “Kevin Holland taps him”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Kevin Holland VALUE $2.00
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “I'm heavy on Reinier de Ridder he seems in good spirits man”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Reinier de Ridder “I'm gonna pick reier Reinier de Ridder only because the hype”
DR DRYWALL picks Kevin Holland VALUE “I have Kevin Holland Holland by knockout in the third round”
JG Joe Giannetti picks Reinier de Ridder “Kevin Holland Kevin Holland Holland versus Reinier de Ridder”
TF The Bluest Fox picks Reinier de Ridder “voy con rainer”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Kevin Holland “siento that Kevin Holland va a ganar this combate”
⚔P ⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “Reinier de Ridder is going to shoot for the takedown often control the first round and then he's going to end up catching him in a rear naked choke in the second round.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
de Ridder21-3
L Borralho Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Allen KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Whittaker Decision · R5 Jul '25
W Nickal KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Holland Submission · R1 Jan '25
Holland28-15
W Brown Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Malott Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Luque Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '25