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Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
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Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
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Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
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Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
RM
Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
MD
UN
Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
JP
JH
Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight
JA
SS
Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight
RR
KH
Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
RB
PT
Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AB
ZR
Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
BG
BE
Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GD
CF
Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight
AP
KR
Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MG
RN
Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BS
RT
Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
TU
CC
Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Gafurov
over Nakamura · Bantamweight
Our fair value$6.07
pays above fair
$6.15
Best prices · Gafurov
BetOnline.ag · US
$6.15
Virgin Bet · UK
$5.75
Coolbet · EU
$5.95
Unibet · AU
$5.75
Where to back Gafurov
best price · region · EV vs fair $6.07
US
BetOnline.ag
$6.15
+1%
BetOnline.ag
$6.15
+1%
UK
Virgin Bet
$5.75
-5%
Virgin Bet
$5.75
-5%
EU
Coolbet
$5.95
-2%
Coolbet
$5.95
-2%
AU
Unibet
$5.75
-5%
Unibet
$5.75
-5%
How it endsmethod calls · Gafurov · crowd line
Submission
1
$12.14
Decision
1
$12.14
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Gafurov 20-6
VS
9-0 Nakamura
5'7"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
68"
reach
69"
30
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.0
strikes landed / min
3.5
47%
striking accuracy
54%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
1.4
50%
striking defence
67%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
3.7
27%
takedown accuracy
90%
68%
takedown defence
100%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market16% vs 16%
Consensus6 of 35 analysts
Sharpest angleGafurov by Submission — 1 of 2 method calls
Recommendation
Back Gafurov @ $6.15 · fair $6.07
+1% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Muin Gafurov VALUE
“I'm going to pick pton tow but here I obviously I wouldn't touch this fight in DFS uh he's way too expensive uh Raoni Barcelos is a tough guy he's only been knocked out once he's obviously not GNA get submitted so I would never touch this fight in DFS and um I think the overs on uh on rounds are probably where you want to be here that's my opinion personally and I'm not thir fighting DFS but the pick is Payton Talbott talbat um but I believe we'NOT_IN_ROSTER_28 starting with Drake on this one Drake how do you see this one”
$1.01
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Muin Gafurov VALUE
“I'm going to pick pton tow but here I obviously I wouldn't touch this fight in DFS uh he's way too expensive uh Raoni Barcelos is a tough guy he's only been knocked out once he's obviously not GNA get submitted so I would never touch this fight in DFS and um I think the overs on uh on rounds are probably where you want to be here that's my opinion personally and I'm not thir fighting DFS but the pick is Payton Talbott talbat um but I believe we'NOT_IN_ROSTER_28 starting with Drake on this one Drake how do you see this one”
$1.01
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE
“I think it's Rinya Nakamura he's most like 99% sure that Rinya Nakamura is actually going to win”
$1.17
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE
“I think it's Rinya Nakamura he's most like 99% sure that Rinya Nakamura is actually going to win”
$1.17
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Rinya Nakamura
“I'll even prop this one guys rean Rinya Nakamura by submission”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Rinya Nakamura
“I'll even prop this one guys rean Rinya Nakamura by submission”
JG
Joe Giannetti picks Muin Gafurov
“we're going to skip this fight though Rinya Nakamura is minus 600”
Joe Giannetti picks Muin Gafurov
“we're going to skip this fight though Rinya Nakamura is minus 600”
LE
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Rinya Nakamura
“me voy with el japonés”
LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Rinya Nakamura
“me voy with el japonés”
PI
PickemMMA picks Rinya Nakamura
“R Nakamura is is going to be the pick for me in this match up”
PickemMMA picks Rinya Nakamura
“R Nakamura is is going to be the pick for me in this match up”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Muin Gafurov
“de vez em quando o Nakamura se desliga um pouco da realidade dá uns moles e pode ser que o Muin Gafurov aproveite para finalizar”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Muin Gafurov
“de vez em quando o Nakamura se desliga um pouco da realidade dá uns moles e pode ser que o Muin Gafurov aproveite para finalizar”
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Rinya Nakamura
“é o melhor atleta da noite podendo vencer essa luta por decisão ou até por um noout”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Rinya Nakamura
“é o melhor atleta da noite podendo vencer essa luta por decisão ou até por um noout”
WP
We Want Picks picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE
“Ren absolutely wins this fight one of my most confident picks”
We Want Picks picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE
“Ren absolutely wins this fight one of my most confident picks”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Rinya Nakamura
“nakamura's going to get the win and I do think man this is one to where I see over two and a half too”
$1.18
Tony's Picks picks Rinya Nakamura
“nakamura's going to get the win and I do think man this is one to where I see over two and a half too”
$1.18
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Gafurov20-6
L
Wikłacz
Feb '26
W
Nakamura
Jan '25
W
Kyung-ho
Jun '24
L
Nurmagomedov
Oct '23
L
Castañeda
Jun '23
Nakamura9-0
W
Fletcher
Aug '25
L
Gafurov
Jan '25
W
Vera
Feb '24
W
Garcia
Aug '23
W
Kazama
Feb '23