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UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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IM RM Makhachev vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight MD UN Dvalishvili vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight JP JH Procházka vs HillMain Card · Light Heavyweight JA SS Almeida vs SpivacMain Card · Heavyweight RR KH Ridder vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight RB PT Barcelos vs TalbottPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AB ZR Bekoev vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight BG BE Guskov vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight GD CF Dawson vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Lightweight AP KR Pérez vs RosaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight MG RN Gafurov vs NakamuraEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight BS RT Sopaj vs TurciosEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight TU CC Ulanbekov vs CarpenterEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Pérez over Rosa · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$2.72 BetAnything pays above fair $3.25
Where to back Pérez best price · region · EV vs fair $2.72
US BetAnything $3.25 +20%
UK Grosvenor $3.05 +12%
EU Pinnacle $3.06 +13%
AU PointsBet (AU) $3.10 +14%
Consensus38 picks · conf 60/99
Pérez 19
19 Rosa
BMTGUD pick Pérez
How it endsmethod calls · Pérez · crowd line
Decision 12 $2.72
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pérez 11-2 VS 19-7 Rosa
— height 5'5"
— weight 136 lb
— reach 67"
31 age 31
Switch stance Orthodox
2.8 strikes landed / min 6.5
58% striking accuracy 56%
1.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
57% striking defence 49%
5.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
51% takedown accuracy 46%
66% takedown defence 68%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 31%
Consensus19 of 38 analysts
Sharpest anglePérez by Decision — 12 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Back Pérez @ $3.25 · fair $2.72 +20% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “my pick is E Ailín Pérez” $3.50
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ailín Pérez “my subscribers and I um I pick speaking uh what do you call her Ailín Pérez” $3.05
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Karol Rosa “I'm gonna have to take Karol Rosa to get this win”
JG Joe Giannetti picks Ailín Pérez “we're going to skip it”
JG Joe Giannetti picks Karol Rosa “we're going to skip it”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Ailín Pérez VALUE “me voy with la Argentina siento that puede ganar la pelea”
KU Kunath picks Karol Rosa VALUE “a lot of people are leaning Perez this week and I don't like it one bit so I just wanted to touch on that”
KU Kunath picks Ailín Pérez “Ailín Pérez isn't touching my lineups this week she could win but I don't love it”
PI PickemMMA picks Karol Rosa VALUE “I'll go kosa here as much as I want I press to win” $1.40
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Karol Rosa VALUE “acho que vai dar a vitória da ailin Perez Inclusive para quem curte draft Kings acho que é uma boa luta tá bom ailin vence”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Ailín Pérez “acho que vai dar a vitória da ailin Perez”
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Ailín Pérez “the simulations have been Ailín Pérez darush coming out on top winning five out of five simulations with four simulation victories by decision and one simulation Victory by submission in the third round this is EVENT_DETAIslam MakhachevLS Islam Makhachev”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pérez11-2
W Chiasson Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Rosa Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Zheleznyakova Submission · R1 Sep '24
W Edwards Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Pudilová Decision · R3 Nov '23
Rosa19-7
L Santos Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Cornolle Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Pérez Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Kianzad Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Aldana Decision · R3 Dec '23