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Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
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Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
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Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
KH
Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
RA
BB
Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
MN
MS
Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
SP
TT
Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
RD
JH
Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight
EA
KD
Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight
PR
NP
Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight
AH
ED
Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
SH
Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MJ
MD
Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
JP
DE
Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
NL
GV
Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
FM
MR
Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
YJ
IN
Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nicolau v Schnell
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nicolau 19-6-1
VS
17-10 Schnell
5'6"
height
5'8"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
66"
reach
70"
33
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
4.4
51%
striking accuracy
39%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
65%
striking defence
55%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
43%
takedown accuracy
40%
90%
takedown defence
50%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Matheus Nicolau
“decision win for Matheus Nicolau for Matheus Nicolau for Matheus Nicolau anyone going with that plus 300 That's I'm gonna go with Matheus Nicolau but I'm gonna go with Matheus Nicolau”
$4.00
The MMA-Holes picks Matheus Nicolau
“decision win for Matheus Nicolau for Matheus Nicolau for Matheus Nicolau anyone going with that plus 300 That's I'm gonna go with Matheus Nicolau but I'm gonna go with Matheus Nicolau”
$4.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“matouch Nicola is going to win this fight most likely by finish”
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“matouch Nicola is going to win this fight most likely by finish”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“A lot of people talk about this Matt Schnell Nicola fight minus 380 plus 315 for Matt Schnell you know Nikola is a very good fighter but I think that's a bit wide I like Matt Schnell Matt Schnell can find ways to win”
$4.15
Sherdog.com picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“A lot of people talk about this Matt Schnell Nicola fight minus 380 plus 315 for Matt Schnell you know Nikola is a very good fighter but I think that's a bit wide I like Matt Schnell Matt Schnell can find ways to win”
$4.15
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Matheus Nicolau
“I see Mateos winning this fight”
101MMA Clinic picks Matheus Nicolau
“I see Mateos winning this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I'd say Matheus Nicolau winner or Rafael dos Anjos winner I'd say Rafael dos Anjos is safer Kevin Holland always brings a fun scrap”
MMA EXPERTS picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I'd say Matheus Nicolau winner or Rafael dos Anjos winner I'd say Rafael dos Anjos is safer Kevin Holland always brings a fun scrap”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matt Schnell
“I gotta go with Matt Schnell Matt Schnell Schnell Matheus Niko Pricelau to get this one done and the Finish is definitely there”
$2.25
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matt Schnell
“I gotta go with Matt Schnell Matt Schnell Schnell Matheus Niko Pricelau to get this one done and the Finish is definitely there”
$2.25
1M
138 MMA picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“I'm picking the leads a”
138 MMA picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“I'm picking the leads a”
AM
Artem MMA picks Matheus Nicolau
“I do think that Mark dear Casey is going to win”
Artem MMA picks Matheus Nicolau
“I do think that Mark dear Casey is going to win”
AM
Artem MMA picks Matheus Nicolau
“I think Nicola gets it done man”
Artem MMA picks Matheus Nicolau
“I think Nicola gets it done man”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“Matt Chanel is coming in with some real momentum here uh he's uh two and two in his last four fights uh victory over Tyson Nam... give me Matt Schnell to get the job done”
Walk The Line MMA picks Matt Schnell VALUE
“Matt Chanel is coming in with some real momentum here uh he's uh two and two in his last four fights uh victory over Tyson Nam... give me Matt Schnell to get the job done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nicolau19-6-1
L
Almabayev
Oct '24
L
Perez
Apr '24
L
Royval
Apr '23
W
Schnell
Dec '22
W
Dvořák
Mar '22
Schnell17-10
L
Costa
Jun '26
L
Morales
Nov '25
W
Flick
Apr '25
L
Durden
Sep '24
L
Erceg
Mar '24