Choose a fight to analyse
ST
KH
Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
RA
BB
Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
MN
MS
Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
SP
TT
Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
RD
JH
Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight
EA
KD
Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight
PR
NP
Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight
AH
ED
Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
SH
Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MJ
MD
Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
JP
DE
Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
NL
GV
Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
FM
MR
Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
YJ
IN
Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
KH
Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
RA
BB
Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
MN
MS
Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
SP
TT
Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
RD
JH
Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight
EA
KD
Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight
PR
NP
Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight
AH
ED
Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
SH
Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MJ
MD
Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
JP
DE
Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
NL
GV
Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
FM
MR
Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
YJ
IN
Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Guida v Holtzman
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Guida 38-21
VS
14-6 Holtzman
5'7"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
69"
44
age
42
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.6
strikes landed / min
4.3
33%
striking accuracy
47%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
61%
striking defence
55%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
36%
takedown accuracy
56%
67%
takedown defence
67%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Clay Guida
“gotta go Clay Guida gets mincemeated at 130k gotta go Clay Guida”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Scott Holtzman
“I'm gonna go Scott Holtzman Scott Holtzman Holtzman to win by decision”
$1.63
WP
We Want Picks picks Scott Holtzman
“I think Scott Holtzman ultimately wins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Clay Guida VALUE
“I like Scott Holtzman to win I'm thinking probably on the decision side”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Scott Holtzman
“I'm concerned about the miles that clay Guida has here against Holtzman”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Scott Holtzman
“I've got to go with Guida just off of a recent experience recent activity and Chin”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Scott Holtzman
“Scott Scott Holtzman and Claire guiller Scott Holtzman is the favorite there minus 152 plus 132 for Clay Guida I'll probably go for Scott Holtzman there”
$1.66
SH
Sherdog.com picks Clay Guida
“Scott Scott Holtzman and Claire guiller Scott Holtzman is the favorite there minus 152 plus 132 for Clay Guida”
$2.32
WP
We Want Picks picks Clay Guida
“I'll take the value in the underdog and Guida here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Scott Holtzman VALUE
“I think Scott Holtzman Holtzman wins this fight”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Scott Holtzman VALUE
“I gotta go probably with Scott Holtzman Scott Holtzman Holtzman to get this one down”
$2.61
1M
138 MMA picks Clay Guida
“I will pick Guida for the win here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Guida38-21
L
Hooper
Dec '24
L
Silva
Dec '23
L
García
Apr '23
W
Holtzman
Dec '22
L
Puelles
Apr '22
Holtzman14-6
L
Guida
Dec '22
L
Gamrot
Apr '21
L
Dariush
Aug '20
W
Miller
Feb '20
W
Ma
Aug '19