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Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
RA
BB
Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
MN
MS
Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
SP
TT
Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
RD
JH
Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight
EA
KD
Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight
PR
NP
Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight
AH
ED
Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
SH
Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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MD
Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
JP
DE
Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
NL
GV
Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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MR
Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
YJ
IN
Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pavlovich v Tuivasa
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pavlovich 20-3
VS
15-9 Tuivasa
6'3"
height
6'2"
255 lb
weight
265 lb
84"
reach
75"
34
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
3.1
strikes landed / min
3.8
44%
striking accuracy
46%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
66%
striking defence
44%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
25%
takedown accuracy
0%
64%
takedown defence
57%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Tai Tuivasa
“I'm gonna need Tai Tuivasa uh let's see I'm gonna need Tai Tuivasa”
The MMA-Holes picks Tai Tuivasa
“I'm gonna need Tai Tuivasa uh let's see I'm gonna need Tai Tuivasa”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I think tied to ivassa wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Sergei Pavlovich
“I think tied to ivassa wins this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“I got I got them losing man I think Sergei Sergei Pavlovich is gonna beat him”
MMA EXPERTS picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“I got I got them losing man I think Sergei Sergei Pavlovich is gonna beat him”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“I'm gonna go with time for sure”
101MMA Clinic picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“I'm gonna go with time for sure”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“I'm gonna [ __ ] ride with the side of Valdez to TKO Natan Levy”
MMA EXPERTS picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“I'm gonna [ __ ] ride with the side of Valdez to TKO Natan Levy”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“I'm gonna pick Amanda he boss to win”
MMA EXPERTS picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“I'm gonna pick Amanda he boss to win”
HB
Half The Battle picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“I'm gonna lean with Kyle Dockers to come out here and just slightly out hustle Eric Anders”
$2.85
Half The Battle picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“I'm gonna lean with Kyle Dockers to come out here and just slightly out hustle Eric Anders”
$2.85
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“I gotta go with Sergei Pavlovich pavlovich to get this one done I'm gonna be betting on this one for The Knockout”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“I gotta go with Sergei Pavlovich pavlovich to get this one done I'm gonna be betting on this one for The Knockout”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa
“I'm gonna take TY toy Vasa he has shown that he is an absolute dog and when he brawl with him you do not win”
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa
“I'm gonna take TY toy Vasa he has shown that he is an absolute dog and when he brawl with him you do not win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“as is the pick though I think he gets it done”
We Want Picks picks Sergei Pavlovich VALUE
“as is the pick though I think he gets it done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pavlovich20-3
W
Teixeira
May '26
W
Cortes-Acosta
Aug '25
W
Rozenstruik
Feb '25
L
Volkov
Jun '24
L
Aspinall
Nov '23
Tuivasa15-9
L
Sutherland
May '26
L
Teixeira
Feb '26
L
Rozenstruik
Aug '24
L
Tybura
Mar '24
L
Volkov
Sep '23