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Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
RA
BB
Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
MN
MS
Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
SP
TT
Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
RD
JH
Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight
EA
KD
Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight
PR
NP
Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight
AH
ED
Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
SH
Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MJ
MD
Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
JP
DE
Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
NL
GV
Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
FM
MR
Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
YJ
IN
Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pearce v Elkins
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pearce 14-7
VS
29-11 Elkins
6'0"
height
5'10"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
71"
reach
71"
34
age
42
Switch
stance
Orthodox
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.4
54%
striking accuracy
38%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
54%
striking defence
51%
5.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.9
50%
takedown accuracy
34%
55%
takedown defence
56%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Darren Elkins
“I like Darren Elkins I'm like over here I like Darren Elkins ... I'm gonna give Darren Elkins the benefit of the doubt Darren Elkins the benefit of the doubt Darren Elkins the benefit of the doubt surviving oh my NOT_IN_ROSTER_39 you're going Darren Elkins”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I'm definitely back in Jonathan Pearce here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I see Jonathan Pearce implementing his game plan and I see him getting it done”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“Jonathan Jonathan Pearce to win and over around and a half”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE
“I love Tracy I think this is a great fight for her”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Darren Elkins
“Darren Elkins the damage against Jonathan Pearce you can never rule out Darren Elkins”
HB
Half The Battle picks Jonathan Pearce
“I'm picking Jonathan Pearce to win”
HB
Half The Battle picks Darren Elkins
“Give me Darren Elkins here”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jonathan Pearce
“Jonathan Pearce is going to be way too strong here”
$2.18
1M
138 MMA picks Jonathan Pearce
“official pick as it stands right now is going to be Jonathan Pearce”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pearce14-7
L
Sabatini
Oct '24
L
Onama
Apr '24
L
Brito
Nov '23
W
Elkins
Dec '22
W
Amirkhani
Jul '22
Elkins29-11
L
Erosa
Apr '25
W
Pineda
Oct '24
W
Brown
Oct '23
L
Pearce
Dec '22
W
Connelly
Apr '22