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Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
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Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
MN
MS
Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight
SP
TT
Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
RD
JH
Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight
EA
KD
Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight
PR
NP
Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight
AH
ED
Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CG
SH
Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MJ
MD
Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
JP
DE
Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
NL
GV
Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
FM
MR
Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
YJ
IN
Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Levy v Valdèz
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Levy 8-2
VS
10-3 Valdèz
5'9"
height
—
155 lb
weight
—
71"
reach
—
34
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.7
strikes landed / min
4.1
52%
striking accuracy
30%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
7.2
58%
striking defence
48%
5.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
58%
takedown accuracy
44%
41%
takedown defence
36%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think he can beat Genaro Valdèz I think he's going to get the takedowns get the control”
$90.00
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think he can beat Genaro Valdèz I think he's going to get the takedowns get the control”
$90.00
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Genaro Valdèz VALUE
“Francis Marshall and Genaro Valdèz is the hardest puncher in the history of fighting”
MMA EXPERTS picks Genaro Valdèz VALUE
“Francis Marshall and Genaro Valdèz is the hardest puncher in the history of fighting”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think Natan Levy all the way”
Santino DeFranco picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think Natan Levy all the way”
WP
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“we both like Natan Levy Levy to win”
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“we both like Natan Levy Levy to win”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Genaro Valdèz VALUE
“I'm gonna be back and I'm at 250 that's for sure”
$3.50
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Genaro Valdèz VALUE
“I'm gonna be back and I'm at 250 that's for sure”
$3.50
1M
138 MMA picks Genaro Valdèz
“I'm gonna pick Valdez here”
138 MMA picks Genaro Valdèz
“I'm gonna pick Valdez here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I've picked natal Levy in both of his EVENT_DETAILS fights so far and uh yeah I'm gonna stay with that pick I think Genaro Valdèz too Reckless... so yeah that's gonna be my pick”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I've picked natal Levy in both of his EVENT_DETAILS fights so far and uh yeah I'm gonna stay with that pick I think Genaro Valdèz too Reckless... so yeah that's gonna be my pick”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Natan Levy
“I'm gonna take Levy by decision I think he is able to outgrapple Valdez I think he's able to weather the storm on the feet and we'll see if Valdez does throw Wilds here if he does then Levy's gonna it's just really gonna open up the takedowns for loving this fight and just you know allow and love you to find and find a way to get this fight on the mat so I'm gonna take naton love you to win his second find the UFC here over henaro Valdez I'm gonna take him by unanimous decision”
Greedo Plays picks Natan Levy
“I'm gonna take Levy by decision I think he is able to outgrapple Valdez I think he's able to weather the storm on the feet and we'll see if Valdez does throw Wilds here if he does then Levy's gonna it's just really gonna open up the takedowns for loving this fight and just you know allow and love you to find and find a way to get this fight on the mat so I'm gonna take naton love you to win his second find the UFC here over henaro Valdez I'm gonna take him by unanimous decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think ultimately he's going to get the win”
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think ultimately he's going to get the win”
AM
Artem MMA picks Natan Levy
“I think he should be able to win a decision”
Artem MMA picks Natan Levy
“I think he should be able to win a decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think he's ultimately going to get the win here”
We Want Picks picks Natan Levy VALUE
“I think he's ultimately going to get the win here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Levy8-2
L
Davis
Mar '24
W
Valdèz
Dec '22
W
Breeden
Apr '22
L
García
Nov '21
Valdèz10-3
L
Levy
Dec '22