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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Johnson v Diakiese Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Johnson 0
8 Diakiese
pick Johnson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Johnson 0-0 VS 17-7 Diakiese
5'10" height —
156 lb weight —
74" reach —
40 age 33
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 2.5
39% striking accuracy 40%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
57% striking defence 52%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 3.3
41% takedown accuracy 43%
81% takedown defence 66%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Marc Diakiese “D and Marc Diakiese should get this done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marc Diakiese “I'm gonna pick Marc Diakiese to win money line” $1.32
WP We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese “I'm gonna go with Jonathan Pearce over Mark to Casey if that makes sense” $93.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “I'm on the Decay train obviously I think he wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “we're both on the mark side here”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “I think uh I think Martia keys will be able to finish him here on the feet” $2.30
1M 138 MMA picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “I'm pretty confident that Casey gets this one done”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “I'm taking the Bone Crusher Marc Diakiese to win a Smart Shop”
WP We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese “I'm going with Marc Diakiese should have all the tools that take down team needs to win this fight”
GP Greedo Plays picks Marc Diakiese “I'm taking Mark to Casey all day here Marc Diakiese by decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Marc Diakiese VALUE “Martha Casey's definitely the pick here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Marc Diakiese “gotta go with Dia Casey here” $1.34
Recent form last five, most recent first
Johnson0-0
L Dober KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Zellhuber Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Flowers Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R2 May '23
Diakiese17-7
W Fernandes Decision · R3 Nov '23
L Álvarez Submission · R2 Jul '23
L Johnson Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Hadžović Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Mar '22