MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland
Choose a fight to analyse
ST KH Thompson vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight RA BB Anjos vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight MN MS Nicolau vs SchnellMain Card · Flyweight SP TT Pavlovich vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight RD JH Dolidze vs HermanssonMain Card · Middleweight EA KD Anders vs DaukausMain Card · Middleweight PR NP Rowe vs PriceMain Card · Catchweight AH ED Hill vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CG SH Guida vs HoltzmanPreliminary Card · Lightweight MJ MD Johnson vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight JP DE Pearce vs ElkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight NL GV Levy vs ValdèzPreliminary Card · Lightweight FM MR Marshall vs RojoPreliminary Card · Featherweight YJ IN Jauregui vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dolidze v Hermansson Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Dolidze 3
5 Hermansson
HWS pick Dolidze
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dolidze 15-4 VS 24-9 Hermansson
6'2" height 6'1"
185 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 78"
37 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 5.1
42% striking accuracy 44%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
50% striking defence 56%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
42% takedown accuracy 30%
33% takedown defence 80%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jack Hermansson “I'm gonna pick her Manson by decision” $1.54
WP We Want Picks picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “I think deletes gets it done” $76.00
WP We Want Picks picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I like Tracy Cortez I like her to get the takedown to get the control and I think she's going to get this win” $81.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “Jack Hermansson Kevin Holland you like that play I like both those picks”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “I'm going uh with Roman for this one”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I think I'm gonna stay with her Manson”
SH Sherdog.com picks Roman Dolidze “chakra Jack Hermansson against Roman Dolidze I love that five minus 200 plus one for uh Romancing plus 170 for delitza” $1.50
SH Sherdog.com picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “chakra Jack Hermansson against Roman Dolidze I love that five minus 200 plus one for uh Romancing plus 170 for delitza I'm not sure exactly where her Jack Hermansson is in his career at this stage I probably take the plus 170 there” $2.70
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “I'm going uh with Roman Dolidze for this one”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Jack Hermansson “I was for Hermanson”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “I'm going to be picking the side of Francis Marshall”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I'm riding with the side of Kyle Daukaus to win”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dolidze15-4
L Duncan Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Hernandez Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Vettori Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Holland KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
W Smith Decision · R3 Jun '24
Hermansson24-9
L Orolbai KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Pyfer Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
W Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '22