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Pereira vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
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Weili vs EsparzaMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Poirier vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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Gutiérrez vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight
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Hooker vs PuellesMain Card · Lightweight
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Moicano vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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DR
Spann vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Blanchfield vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Petroski vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Frevola vs AzaitarEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Kowalkiewicz vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Trizano vs ChoiEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Jackson vs ArceEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Poirier v Chandler
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Poirier 30-9
VS
23-10 Chandler
5'9"
height
5'8"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
72"
37
age
40
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.3
strikes landed / min
4.5
50%
striking accuracy
50%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
52%
striking defence
43%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
36%
takedown accuracy
37%
64%
takedown defence
63%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Michael Chandler
“Carlos takes on Zhang Weili is the Dustin Poirier taking on Michael Michael Chandler minus 215 for the diamonds The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$2.80
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Michael Chandler
“Carlos takes on Zhang Weili is the Dustin Poirier taking on Michael Michael Chandler minus 215 for the diamonds The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$2.80
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Carlos takes on Zhang Weili is the Dustin Poirier taking on Michael Michael Chandler minus 215 for the diamonds The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$1.47
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Carlos takes on Zhang Weili is the Dustin Poirier taking on Michael Michael Chandler minus 215 for the diamonds The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$1.47
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Dustin Poirier
“maybe I'll put it on Dustin Poirier but he's a favorite”
The MMA-Holes picks Dustin Poirier
“maybe I'll put it on Dustin Poirier but he's a favorite”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I'm sticking on Poirier”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michael Chandler VALUE
“I'm sticking on Poirier”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Michael Chandler
“I got that support eight all day Michael Michael Chandler”
Extra Thiccc picks Michael Chandler
“I got that support eight all day Michael Michael Chandler”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Dustin Poirier
“if I had to pick I feel like the edge goes towards Dustin Poirier Poirier”
Extra Thiccc picks Dustin Poirier
“if I had to pick I feel like the edge goes towards Dustin Poirier Poirier”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dustin Poirier
“I still think Dustin Dustin Poirier wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Dustin Poirier
“I still think Dustin Dustin Poirier wins this fight”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Dustin Poirier
“I'm going with Dustin Poirier”
101MMA Clinic picks Dustin Poirier
“I'm going with Dustin Poirier”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Poirier30-9
L
Holloway
Jul '25
L
Makhachev
Jun '24
W
Denis
Mar '24
L
Gaethje
Jul '23
W
Chandler
Nov '22
Chandler23-10
L
Ruffy
Jun '26
L
Pimblett
Apr '25
L
Oliveira
Nov '24
L
Poirier
Nov '22
W
Ferguson
May '22