MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
Choose a fight to analyse
AP IA Pereira vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight ZW CE Weili vs EsparzaMain Card · Women'S Strawweight DP MC Poirier vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight CG FE Gutiérrez vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight DH CP Hooker vs PuellesMain Card · Lightweight RM BR Moicano vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight RS DR Spann vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Catchweight EB MM Blanchfield vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AP WT Petroski vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight MF OA Frevola vs AzaitarEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight KK SJ Kowalkiewicz vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight MT SC Trizano vs ChoiEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight MJ JA Jackson vs ArceEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight CU NN Ulberg vs NegumereanuEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jackson v Arce Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Jackson 11
1 Arce
1TMSDF pick Jackson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jackson 15-3 VS 19-6 Arce
5'10" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 147 lb
75" reach 70"
34 age 36
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.8 strikes landed / min 4.4
52% striking accuracy 36%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
71% striking defence 68%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
67% takedown accuracy 28%
55% takedown defence 96%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Montel Jackson “I am on Montel Jackson”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Montel Jackson “I kind of favor Montel Jackson but I I gotta say I kind of favor Montel Jackson... I'm gonna say Montel Jackson I'm gonna say knockout gonna say Montel Jackson... we also picked Montel Jackson” $1.50
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I think Montel Jackson will get this one though”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Montel Jackson “I'm gonna pick Monto Jackson on a decision it's not one of my favorite picks though especially at like two to one odds” $1.49
SH Sherdog.com picks Montel Jackson VALUE “Julio Arce minus 117 minus one or three foreign I think that's just about right I like Goldberg to be honest Julio Arce is the underdog plus 170 against Montel Jackson minus 200” $1.50
SH Sherdog.com picks Julio Arce “Julio Arce minus 117 minus one or three foreign I think that's just about right I like Goldberg to be honest Julio Arce is the underdog plus 170 against Montel Jackson minus 200” $2.70
WP We Want Picks picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I think Montel Jackson absolutely wins this fight potentially by stoppage”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I think Montel Jackson I think this is his fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Julio Arce VALUE “I'm gonna side with the underdog Julio assay to win this match up”
WP We Want Picks picks Montel Jackson “I think Montel Jackson Montel Jackson Jackson gets this done... my pick for this fight is Montel Jackson”
1M 138 MMA picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I'm on Jackson right now so my pick's gonna be Jackson”
WP We Want Picks picks Montel Jackson VALUE “I like Montel to use some wrestling in this matchup to win this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jackson15-3
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Marcos Decision · R3 May '25
W Blackshear KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Yahya KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
Arce19-6
W Burns KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
L Jackson Decision · R3 Nov '22
W Santos Decision · R3 Apr '22
L Yadong KO/TKO · R2 Nov '21
W Ewell KO/TKO · R2 Jul '21