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Weili vs EsparzaMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Poirier vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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Gutiérrez vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight
DH
CP
Hooker vs PuellesMain Card · Lightweight
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Moicano vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Spann vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Blanchfield vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AP
WT
Petroski vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MF
OA
Frevola vs AzaitarEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KK
SJ
Kowalkiewicz vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Trizano vs ChoiEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Jackson vs ArceEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Ulberg vs NegumereanuEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Spann v Reyes
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Spann 23-11
VS
15-5 Reyes
6'5"
height
6'4"
252 lb
weight
206 lb
79"
reach
77"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.3
strikes landed / min
5.0
40%
striking accuracy
43%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
43%
striking defence
70%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
35%
takedown accuracy
73%
50%
takedown defence
68%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Dominick Reyes
“as much as I would love to pick Ryan Spann I think Dominick Reyes is going to get it done”
The MMA-Holes picks Dominick Reyes
“as much as I would love to pick Ryan Spann I think Dominick Reyes is going to get it done”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I love Dominick Reyes in this spot”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I love Dominick Reyes in this spot”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I am going for Tom Breeze who I see here is actually minus one four three”
$1.70
Sherdog.com picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I am going for Tom Breeze who I see here is actually minus one four three”
$1.70
SH
Sherdog.com picks Dominick Reyes
“this fight this weekend against Pablo pavlak uh look pabloc if you haven't seen him”
Sherdog.com picks Dominick Reyes
“this fight this weekend against Pablo pavlak uh look pabloc if you haven't seen him”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dominick Reyes
“I still got to go with my um Dominic Rey is here”
We Want Picks picks Dominick Reyes
“I still got to go with my um Dominic Rey is here”
TT
TFB's Talks picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I'm gonna go Dominick Reyes NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 here I'm gonna go Dominick Reyes NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 by uh imma go Dominick Reyes NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 by TKO”
TFB's Talks picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I'm gonna go Dominick Reyes NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 here I'm gonna go Dominick Reyes NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 by uh imma go Dominick Reyes NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 by TKO”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I guess I would choose Dominick Reyes”
Santino DeFranco picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I guess I would choose Dominick Reyes”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I will have some Ryan Spann I do think Reyes should absolutely win this fight but you can't completely trust Dominic Reyes”
$70.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I will have some Ryan Spann I do think Reyes should absolutely win this fight but you can't completely trust Dominic Reyes”
$70.00
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I think Dom my greatest finishes Ryan Span in the very first round so I do like Dominick Reyes”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I think Dom my greatest finishes Ryan Span in the very first round so I do like Dominick Reyes”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I'm gonna stay with my original prediction I'm gonna side with azatar to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I'm gonna stay with my original prediction I'm gonna side with azatar to win this match up”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I would have to side with the underdog Wellington tournament in this matchup”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I would have to side with the underdog Wellington tournament in this matchup”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I am going to leave lean Dominick Dominick Reyesk”
We Want Picks picks Dominick Reyes VALUE
“I am going to leave lean Dominick Dominick Reyesk”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Spann23-11
W
Buchecha
Apr '26
W
Brzeski
Jul '25
L
Cortes-Acosta
Mar '25
W
Preux
Oct '24
L
Guskov
Apr '24
Reyes15-5
W
Walker
Apr '26
L
Ulberg
Sep '25
W
Krylov
Apr '25
W
Smith
Dec '24
W
Jacoby
Jun '24