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UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Petroski v Turman Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Petroski 7
4 Turman
TMSTWW pick Petroski
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Petroski 13-6 VS 18-8 Turman
6'0" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 171 lb
73" reach 72"
35 age 29
Switch stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.2
41% striking accuracy 51%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
66% striking defence 45%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
70% takedown accuracy 20%
52% takedown defence 42%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Andre Petroski “gotta go Andre Petroski for the win gotta go Andre Petroski for the win gotta go Andre Petroski for the win um huh I'm gonna say a decision Andre Petroski I'm gonna say a decision Andre Petroski I'm gonna say a decision Andre Petroski decision yeah I can't I can't go against them I got Andre Petroski for the win his beautiful got Andre Petroski for the win his beautiful got Andre Petroski for the win his beautiful beard” $1.50
DS Dynes Sports picks Wellington Turman VALUE $1.50
WP We Want Picks picks Andre Petroski VALUE “I do think he wins this fight”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Andre Petroski VALUE “I like Andre Petroski a lot in the spot”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Wellington Turman VALUE “I think I'm leaning tournament if anything here uh but not my favorite fighter Target in the world” $71.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Andre Petroski “I think I'm more so looking to determined side here on this one at 7 000. I just think the fight's much more closer than these salaries do indicate”
WP We Want Picks picks Andre Petroski VALUE “I do like petrovski to win this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Andre Petroski “Wellington Wellington Turman and Frankie Frankie Edgar listen Wellington tournament is just not all that great but it's not like petroski's top tier so I guess I could see people attacking it”
1M 138 MMA picks Wellington Turman VALUE “I'm taking Turman”
WP We Want Picks picks Andre Petroski VALUE “I see Andre Petroski coming in and absolutely dominating this fight with pure control and wrestling elbows maybe finding a submission but could be a TKO victory for Andre Petroski”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Wellington Turman “I'm going to say Wellington Turman gets a late finish I'm gonna say Wellington Turman wins this one by a third round submission”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Andre Petroski VALUE “I went with Andre petrovski here over Wellington Turman”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Petroski13-6
L Brundage KO/TKO · R2 May '26
L Rowston KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Vieira Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Budka Decision · R3 Sep '24
Turman18-8
L Gooden Submission · R2 Dec '23
L Brown Decision · R3 Jun '23
L Petroski Decision · R3 Nov '22
W Cirkunov Submission · R2 Feb '22
W Alvey Decision · R3 Aug '21