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UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ulberg v Negumereanu Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Ulberg 8
7 Negumereanu
MTMUSD pick Ulberg
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ulberg 14-1 VS 13-2 Negumereanu
6'4" height 6'0"
205 lb weight 206 lb
77" reach 78"
35 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.6
63% striking accuracy 41%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 5.6
64% striking defence 39%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
71% takedown accuracy 28%
77% takedown defence 62%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Nicolae Negumereanu VALUE “yeah I'm still hanging off Nicolae Negumereanu”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE “I'm with you on knockout I think olberg's too slick he's long and also the fact that uh negu Mariano yeah he's got the wrestling in the back pocket but I'll be honest bro if there's a team with Strikers that I trust take down defense Wise It's City kickboxing” $1.80
WP We Want Picks picks Nicolae Negumereanu “I do think Nick wins because I think he can work in the grappling and make it dirty and Scrappy”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE “I really like carlosberg here”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Carlos Ulberg “Carlos Ulberg versus Nicolae Negumereanu I think I'm leaning Carlos Ulberg”
MK Morning Kombat picks Carlos Ulberg VALUE “Carlos Ulberg sparza and I don't even Carla Esparza's a that's a Carlos Ulberg a two-time is it because Carla Esparza's always in splitter with somebody like Carlos Ulberg sparza who you happens to be but Carla Esparza is here so let's so now to put into context Carla Esparza's been Carla Esparza will not be able to do a game plan just light up Carlos Ulberg sparza”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Carlos Ulberg “I'm gonna side with the Muay Thai Striker Carlos Solberg to win this matchup”
AM Artem MMA picks Nicolae Negumereanu VALUE “I've got to go Nikola gumriadu to take this one here”
WP We Want Picks picks Nicolae Negumereanu VALUE “I like Nicolae Negumereanu in this fight... I'm gonna go with Nicolae Negumereanu”
1M 138 MMA picks Nicolae Negumereanu VALUE “going Nicolae Negumereanu on this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Nicolae Negumereanu VALUE “I am Nicolae Negumereanu all the way in this match to make it dirty to get those takedowns to grind to a victory”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Ulberg “give me a oldberg to win give me oldberg to win this one by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ulberg14-1
W Procházka KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
W Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Błachowicz Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Oezdemir Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Menifield KO/TKO · R1 May '24
Negumereanu13-2
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Nov '22
W Potieria KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
W Nzechukwu Decision · R3 Mar '22
W Villanueva KO/TKO · R1 Oct '21
W Camur Decision · R3 Jun '21