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UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gutiérrez v Edgar Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
Gutiérrez 7
12 Edgar
HM1TFW pick Gutiérrez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gutiérrez 8-10-1 VS 23-11-1 Edgar
6'6" height 5'6"
222 lb weight 136 lb
78" reach 68"
age 44
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.6 strikes landed / min 3.8
52% striking accuracy 40%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
72% striking defence 65%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
48% takedown accuracy 31%
53% takedown defence 65%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Frankie Edgar VALUE “I'm just gonna go with Frankie Edgar right you like Michael Chandler in that fight of these two people I think he's a Carla Esparza let Frankie Edgar going here in less than one I'm gonna give you those Frankie Edgar we'll okay now now you made event Frankie Edgar who we got Israel Adesanya out of Sonya from Frankie Edgar and God of course of course Frankie Edgar I appreciate the time and the heavyweight class it is Frankie Edgar on Dustin Poirier and uh Michael Michael Chandler uh I want to get your thoughts Dustin Poirier if he's gonna get the win I how about this one Dustin Poirier Michael Chandler's key to Victory fight to win and then this one Michael Chandler's key where we see Dustin Poirier uh maybe Michael Chandler a standout wrestler at little bit about Michael Chandler who did that Hall of Famer Frankie Edgar he makes a look at Frankie Edgar I might tear up a quick facts about Frankie Edgar's career talking about MMA but like Frankie Edgar Israel Adesanya out of Sonya he defends his Foe and Alex Pereira out of Sonya he's kickboxing against Alex Pereira we'll see uh Alex Pereira again has got to have some it comes to the odds minus 210 for Israel Adesanya underdog Alex Pereira at plus 180. Carlos takes on Zhang Weili is the Dustin Poirier taking on Michael Michael Chandler minus 215 for the diamonds The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Chris Gutiérrez “as soon as they made this fight I was picking Chris Gutiérrez ... I think Chris Gutiérrez is going to get it done”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “I like the favorite Chris Gutiérrez”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Chris Gutiérrez “I'm going Chris Gutiérrez I think he's got the better striking”
DS Dynes Sports picks Frankie Edgar VALUE $2.80
SH Sherdog.com picks Frankie Edgar “I just hope Frankie Edgar comes out and it's unscathered and can roll off into the sunset” $2.86
SH Sherdog.com picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “Chris Gutiérrez Jesus minus two two one plus one eighty six for Frankie Edgar” $1.45
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “if you think Frankie Edgar is completely washed his chin is gone which it is then throw Chris Gutiérrez in there because Chris Gutiérrez will chop up your legs bad and then start coming for your head he has some power he can get the finish”
TT TFB's Talks picks Frankie Edgar VALUE “I'm gonna go Frankie Edgar NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 I'm gonna go Frankie Edgar NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 by think Frankie Edgar NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 is not over the heel”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Frankie Edgar “I'm speaking to Frankie Edgar”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Frankie Edgar VALUE “I gave a chance to Frankie Edgar I couldn't give it to them so but I would be surprised if you win this one”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Chris Gutiérrez VALUE “I'm going with Chris Gutiérrez”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gutiérrez8-10-1
L Basharat Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Castañeda Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Le Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Yadong Decision · R5 Dec '23
W Heili Decision · R3 Oct '23
Edgar23-11-1
L Gutiérrez KO/TKO · R1 Nov '22
L Vera KO/TKO · R3 Nov '21
L Sandhagen KO/TKO · R1 Feb '21
W Munhoz Decision · R5 Aug '20
L Jung KO/TKO · R1 Dec '19