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Sterling vs DillashawMain Card · Bantamweight
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O'Malley vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dariush vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
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Fiorot vs ChookagianMain Card · Catchweight
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Borralho vs MuradovPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Makhachev v Oliveira
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Makhachev 27-1
VS
36-11 Oliveira
5'10"
height
5'10"
170 lb
weight
156 lb
70"
reach
74"
34
age
36
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
3.7
49%
striking accuracy
48%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
66%
striking defence
53%
3.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
49%
takedown accuracy
44%
90%
takedown defence
57%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
2.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“I definitely have man and”
We Want Picks picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“I definitely have man and”
WP
We Want Picks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“Charles Oliveira Oliveira so it's a six fight parlay”
We Want Picks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“Charles Oliveira Oliveira so it's a six fight parlay”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Islam Makhachev
“I like Islam Makhachev a lot here I but I do like Islam Makhachev a fair bit here”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Islam Makhachev
“I like Islam Makhachev a lot here I but I do like Islam Makhachev a fair bit here”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“but for me man it's Islam Makhachev guys Charles Oliveira has been slicing through Strikers Islam Makhachev is not that there's a and Charles Oliveira isn't going to be moving on Charles Oliveira has the power more power than Islam Makhachev scene in any of his recent Charles Oliveira by sub I don't see that at all I afraid of as an Islam Makhachev Packer but yeah for me it's Islam Makhachev”
Dynes Sports picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“but for me man it's Islam Makhachev guys Charles Oliveira has been slicing through Strikers Islam Makhachev is not that there's a and Charles Oliveira isn't going to be moving on Charles Oliveira has the power more power than Islam Makhachev scene in any of his recent Charles Oliveira by sub I don't see that at all I afraid of as an Islam Makhachev Packer but yeah for me it's Islam Makhachev”
CO
Covers picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I love Charles Oliveira as the underdog at anywhere close to plus 150”
Covers picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I love Charles Oliveira as the underdog at anywhere close to plus 150”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Islam Makhachev
“the pick has been Islam throughout the week... I'm gonna say he does it third or fourth round kotko”
MMA EXPERTS picks Islam Makhachev
“the pick has been Islam throughout the week... I'm gonna say he does it third or fourth round kotko”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Islam Makhachev
“I think Islam wins the match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Islam Makhachev
“I think Islam wins the match up”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Charles Oliveira
“the aliens got do Bronx minus 150 which is 60”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Charles Oliveira
“the aliens got do Bronx minus 150 which is 60”
WP
We Want Picks picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“I think Islam Makhachev is going to get the early takedowns Charles Oliveira gonna is gonna be having enough wherewithal to survive on the ground right because he is a threat and Islam Makhachev is going to have to go for more control than anything else”
We Want Picks picks Islam Makhachev VALUE
“I think Islam Makhachev is going to get the early takedowns Charles Oliveira gonna is gonna be having enough wherewithal to survive on the ground right because he is a threat and Islam Makhachev is going to have to go for more control than anything else”
OM
One On One | MMA picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
One On One | MMA picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Makhachev27-1
W
Maddalena
Nov '25
W
Moicano
Jan '25
W
Poirier
Jun '24
W
Volkanovski
Oct '23
W
Volkanovski
Feb '23
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24