Choose a fight to analyse
IM
CO
Makhachev vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
AS
TD
Sterling vs DillashawMain Card · Bantamweight
SO
PY
O'Malley vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight
BD
MG
Dariush vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
MF
KC
Fiorot vs ChookagianMain Card · Catchweight
BM
SB
Muhammad vs BradyPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CB
MM
Borralho vs MuradovPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NK
VO
Krylov vs OezdemirPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AN
GO
Nurmagomedov vs OmargadzhievPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AP
AD
Petrosyan vs DobsonPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MM
MG
Mokaev vs GordonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
KR
LL
Rosa vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CO
Makhachev vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
AS
TD
Sterling vs DillashawMain Card · Bantamweight
SO
PY
O'Malley vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight
BD
MG
Dariush vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
MF
KC
Fiorot vs ChookagianMain Card · Catchweight
BM
SB
Muhammad vs BradyPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CB
MM
Borralho vs MuradovPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NK
VO
Krylov vs OezdemirPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
AN
GO
Nurmagomedov vs OmargadzhievPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AP
AD
Petrosyan vs DobsonPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MM
MG
Mokaev vs GordonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
KR
LL
Rosa vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Muhammad v Brady
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Muhammad 24-5
VS
18-2 Brady
5'11"
height
5'10"
171 lb
weight
169 lb
72"
reach
72"
37
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
4.1
47%
striking accuracy
55%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
59%
striking defence
60%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
3.5
46%
takedown accuracy
52%
77%
takedown defence
85%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Belal Muhammad
“below Muhammad I am a stupid [__] idiot and I was a hundred and fifty percent [__] wrong about you”
We Want Picks picks Belal Muhammad
“below Muhammad I am a stupid [__] idiot and I was a hundred and fifty percent [__] wrong about you”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sean Brady VALUE
“Sean Brady the start of our 10 unit parlay”
We Want Picks picks Sean Brady VALUE
“Sean Brady the start of our 10 unit parlay”
WP
We Want Picks picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I like Bilal Muhammad”
We Want Picks picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I like Bilal Muhammad”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I'ma start off saying look I was really man I couldn't really hard to decide on this fight who the pick in this one well I'm a Rob Muhammad just because you know he got a good win over NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 go win over NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 those are big names in this division don't get me wrong Sean Brady he's underrated undefeated but man I just think below he's just getting better and better and the fact that he had could be you know for a few weeks in his training camp I think that's gonna make him even a more competitive fighter so I got Paloma having coming out of Chicago too so you guys in Chicago this is Chicago versus Philly if y'all didn't know because Sean Brady really raped Philly he'd be repping the Eagles and we don't with Philadelphia uh I got all right well I got the fight To Go the Distance one that's minus 250. I'm rocking with the slight Underdog plus 120 on DraftKings below Muhammad although Sean Brady is a beast he just looks so big for a welterweight it's kind of crazy how big he is farewell tree and I ain't gonna look you don't look that big you don't think so he looks he looks pretty big for a welterweight to me I don't know below but Blah's got the experience on him and I think it's gonna be close all the way to the end and uh well it gets it done on points”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I'ma start off saying look I was really man I couldn't really hard to decide on this fight who the pick in this one well I'm a Rob Muhammad just because you know he got a good win over NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 go win over NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 those are big names in this division don't get me wrong Sean Brady he's underrated undefeated but man I just think below he's just getting better and better and the fact that he had could be you know for a few weeks in his training camp I think that's gonna make him even a more competitive fighter so I got Paloma having coming out of Chicago too so you guys in Chicago this is Chicago versus Philly if y'all didn't know because Sean Brady really raped Philly he'd be repping the Eagles and we don't with Philadelphia uh I got all right well I got the fight To Go the Distance one that's minus 250. I'm rocking with the slight Underdog plus 120 on DraftKings below Muhammad although Sean Brady is a beast he just looks so big for a welterweight it's kind of crazy how big he is farewell tree and I ain't gonna look you don't look that big you don't think so he looks he looks pretty big for a welterweight to me I don't know below but Blah's got the experience on him and I think it's gonna be close all the way to the end and uh well it gets it done on points”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sean Brady VALUE
“watch the most overrated fighter in UFC history Belal Muhammad get absolutely dominated”
We Want Picks picks Sean Brady VALUE
“watch the most overrated fighter in UFC history Belal Muhammad get absolutely dominated”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Belal Muhammad
“I got Sean Brady via decision over Bilal Belal Muhammad”
MMA JOEY picks Belal Muhammad
“I got Sean Brady via decision over Bilal Belal Muhammad”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Sean Brady
“I think Sean Brady Sean Brady Brady is going to win this one”
THE MMA GURU picks Sean Brady
“I think Sean Brady Sean Brady Brady is going to win this one”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sean Brady VALUE
“I think Sean Brady is the more dangerous fighter so he should be the favorite I do agree with the odds I think were they minus 130 um like plus like 120 or something for below this is a close fight this is a very very close fight I just don't see below coming in and out wrestling Sean Brady”
We Want Picks picks Sean Brady VALUE
“I think Sean Brady is the more dangerous fighter so he should be the favorite I do agree with the odds I think were they minus 130 um like plus like 120 or something for below this is a close fight this is a very very close fight I just don't see below coming in and out wrestling Sean Brady”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Muhammad24-5
L
Bonfim
Jun '26
L
Garry
Nov '25
L
Maddalena
May '25
W
Edwards
Jul '24
W
Burns
May '23
Brady18-2
W
Buckley
May '26
L
Morales
Nov '25
W
Edwards
Mar '25
W
Burns
Sep '24
W
Gastelum
Dec '23