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UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read O'Malley v Yan Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
O'Malley 14
5 Yan
M11MUE pick O'Malley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
O'Malley 19-3 VS 18-5 Yan
5'11" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 135 lb
72" reach 67"
31 age 33
Switch stance Switch
5.4 strikes landed / min 5.1
55% striking accuracy 54%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
56% striking defence 58%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
33% takedown accuracy 49%
82% takedown defence 84%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ES etoft21 sports picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “I like NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 Sean O'Malley by um once again uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 Sean O'Malley”
DS Dynes Sports picks Petr Yan VALUE “Petr Yan where it opened Sean O'Malley's a public this is Petr Yan from Russia fighting in EVENT_DETAILS Sean O'Malley who said he never I mean I really like Sean O'Malley I just don't you can put on a guy like Sean O'Malley really do like Sean O'Malley I just think like Aldo was against Petr Yan and a bunch of Sean O'Malley to the point that there's value on Petr Yan on the money line I love Petr Yan here we saw Petr Yan taking all Joe down multiple um”
DS Dynes Sports picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “Sean O'Malley Petr Yan's level on his resume and I it's Petr Yan all day anything under Sean O'Malley can do I mean yeah yeah I mean between Katlyn Chookagian and Manon is a tough matchup against Katlyn Chookagian um compared to 4.6 from Katlyn Chookagian again a full Katlyn Chookagian that has uh you know struggled I mean Katlyn Chookagian's been in Wars more powerful shots which Katlyn Chookagian does um I Sean O'Malley every single did not look good Petr Yan he he had me sandhagen's very similar to Sean O'Malley obviously the path for Sean O'Malley is clear”
ET Extra Thiccc picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “I'm gonna go with the upset and Sean O'Malley taking it Taking it home just because I see him coming out a little stronger winning that first round and uh keeping the range keeping the distance and getting a decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “I think Kyle barallow dominates”
12 12Coffees picks Sean O'Malley VALUE “yo creo que va a ganar espero que gane T.J. Dillashaw”
12 12Coffees picks Petr Yan VALUE “Petr Petr Yan yang es uno de los mejores boxeadores de EVENT_DETAILS tiene buena pegada se caracteriza por empezar lento”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Petr Yan “yeah I'm gonna go over Petr Yan um I think his game like he's not gonna give any opening to Sean O'Malley um and especially if we go through his record he's 16 and three and two losses uh coming from uh Aljamain Sterling you know like can we really count the first loss I don't think anyone is counting that as a loss and even the second one I think he was like a better fighter he made two mistakes it cost him greatly you know two times he gave his back he made two same mistakes and I think I already talked about that uh on the on that high level that it really was surprising to me that he did it but he managed to survive uh uh Aljamain Sterling like riding his back for like I don't know maybe like even eight minutes total you know so that's saying something uh but I don't see the way that Sean O'Malley can can really get this one you know so I'm gonna go with Petr Yan” $1.38
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Sean O'Malley “fly to Dubai to crumble that small Russian guy Mediterranean fruit fly probably a few of those in Dubai O'Malley chilling with the top G”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Petr Yan “the alien thinks yeah thinks Petr Yan wins the match up”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Petr Yan “I'm gonna go with Ayan” $1.38
MJ MMA JOEY picks Petr Yan “I'm really confident pioter wins”
Recent form last five, most recent first
O'Malley19-3
W Zahabi KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Yadong Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Dvalishvili Submission · R3 Jun '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '24
Yan18-5
W Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Dec '25
W McGhee Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Figueiredo Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Yadong Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Mar '23