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O'Malley vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dariush vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
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Fiorot vs ChookagianMain Card · Catchweight
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Borralho vs MuradovPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Krylov vs OezdemirPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Sterling v Dillashaw
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sterling 25-5
VS
18-5 Dillashaw
5'7"
height
5'6"
153 lb
weight
135 lb
71"
reach
67"
36
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.7
strikes landed / min
5.1
44%
striking accuracy
41%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
55%
striking defence
62%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
27%
takedown accuracy
30%
63%
takedown defence
77%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks T.J. Dillashaw VALUE
“T.J. Dillashaw Dill straw is number two just because he's locking the week”
We Want Picks picks T.J. Dillashaw VALUE
“T.J. Dillashaw Dill straw is number two just because he's locking the week”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I think Aljamain Sterling is going to realize that point of their careers Aljamain Sterling is more to go on the ground”
etoft21 sports picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I think Aljamain Sterling is going to realize that point of their careers Aljamain Sterling is more to go on the ground”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Aljamain Sterling
“If he can go out there and take out T.J. Dillashaw who we all know what TJ is capable of if he can go out there and have a performance against TJ Dillashaw I feel like that respect is going to be earned”
Extra Thiccc picks Aljamain Sterling
“If he can go out there and take out T.J. Dillashaw who we all know what TJ is capable of if he can go out there and have a performance against TJ Dillashaw I feel like that respect is going to be earned”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks T.J. Dillashaw
“However if TJ Dillashaw can come back in and be the TJ that we know he's capable capable of being absolutely T.J. Dillashaw has the skills that are necessary to be a UFC champion once again”
Extra Thiccc picks T.J. Dillashaw
“However if TJ Dillashaw can come back in and be the TJ that we know he's capable capable of being absolutely T.J. Dillashaw has the skills that are necessary to be a UFC champion once again”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Aljamain Sterling
“obucobar no magomero has been the pick throughout the week... win a unanimous decision”
$1.62
MMA EXPERTS picks Aljamain Sterling
“obucobar no magomero has been the pick throughout the week... win a unanimous decision”
$1.62
12
12Coffees picks T.J. Dillashaw VALUE
“Voy a escoger a cámara más más poder”
12Coffees picks T.J. Dillashaw VALUE
“Voy a escoger a cámara más más poder”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks T.J. Dillashaw
“I think it's going to pick T.J. Dillashaw hey guys it's not pre-recorded it's not pre there you go I mean the alien are on the same wavelength”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks T.J. Dillashaw
“I think it's going to pick T.J. Dillashaw hey guys it's not pre-recorded it's not pre there you go I mean the alien are on the same wavelength”
WP
We Want Picks picks T.J. Dillashaw VALUE
“lock of the week for UFC 280 is T J Dillashaw... T.J. Dillashaw is my luck of the week”
We Want Picks picks T.J. Dillashaw VALUE
“lock of the week for UFC 280 is T J Dillashaw... T.J. Dillashaw is my luck of the week”
OM
One On One | MMA picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I picked his brain... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 T.J. Dillashaw is going to walk through NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 Aljamain Sterling”
One On One | MMA picks Aljamain Sterling VALUE
“I picked his brain... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 T.J. Dillashaw is going to walk through NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 Aljamain Sterling”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sterling25-5
W
Zalal
Apr '26
W
Ortega
Aug '25
L
Evloev
Dec '24
W
Kattar
Apr '24
L
O'Malley
Aug '23
Dillashaw18-5
L
Sterling
Oct '22
W
Sandhagen
Jul '21
L
Cejudo
Jan '19
W
Garbrandt
Aug '18
W
Garbrandt
Nov '17