MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Choose a fight to analyse
IM CO Makhachev vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight AS TD Sterling vs DillashawMain Card · Bantamweight SO PY O'Malley vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight BD MG Dariush vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight MF KC Fiorot vs ChookagianMain Card · Catchweight BM SB Muhammad vs BradyPreliminary Card · Welterweight CB MM Borralho vs MuradovPreliminary Card · Middleweight NK VO Krylov vs OezdemirPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight AN GO Nurmagomedov vs OmargadzhievPreliminary Card · Welterweight AP AD Petrosyan vs DobsonPreliminary Card · Middleweight MM MG Mokaev vs GordonPreliminary Card · Flyweight KR LL Rosa vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nurmagomedov v Omargadzhiev Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Nurmagomedov 2
3 Omargadzhiev
UW pick Nurmagomedov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 17-4-1 VS 13-2 Omargadzhiev
5'11" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 72"
36 age 33
Orthodox stance Switch
2.8 strikes landed / min 1.8
53% striking accuracy 39%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
65% striking defence 39%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
22% takedown accuracy 30%
88% takedown defence 60%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “our watch party parlay is Sean Brady Manning Pharaoh gamrat uh pyotrion um T.J. Dillashaw and Charles Oliveira Oliveira”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov “I'm riding abubakar normal” $1.57
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Gadzhi Omargadzhiev VALUE “I'm going Gadzhi Omargadzhiev Gadzhi Gadzhi Omargadzhievgadzhiev” $2.35
WP We Want Picks picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “who do you think is going to win Abubakar Nurmagomedov or Gadzhi Omargadzhiev I have Abubakar Nurmagomedov I think it's a safer pick but I think that Gadzhi Omargadzhiev definitely is one of the live underdogs”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov “I think mokai runs through Malcolm Malcolm Gordon” $1.12
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Gadzhi Omargadzhiev VALUE “I'm picking the Margo metal to win” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I gotta go with the safer pick and the safer play especially because of the weight cut coming uh for Abubakar Nurmagomedov so he is my pick for this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Gadzhi Omargadzhiev VALUE “but I like godzi a lot I think he's very good that last fight was not a good look and if he looks good on the scale ready to go cardio like all that stuff godzi's gonna be my pick for sure”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “side with the favorite a bubble car and the mugger made of”
WP We Want Picks picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov “I gotta go with Abubakar Nurmagomedov the Maga met off to withstand the wild striking of Gadzhi Omargadzhiev get this fight to the ground”
AM Artem MMA picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov “I'm gonna be going with godzi”
AM Artem MMA picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov “I was picking Abubakar Nurmagomedov”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov17-4-1
L Santos Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Omargadzhiev Decision · R3 Oct '22
W Gooden Decision · R3 Mar '21
L Zawada Submission · R1 Nov '19
Omargadzhiev13-2
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Oct '22
L Borralho Decision · R3 Apr '22