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UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
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IM CO Makhachev vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight AS TD Sterling vs DillashawMain Card · Bantamweight SO PY O'Malley vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight BD MG Dariush vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight MF KC Fiorot vs ChookagianMain Card · Catchweight BM SB Muhammad vs BradyPreliminary Card · Welterweight CB MM Borralho vs MuradovPreliminary Card · Middleweight NK VO Krylov vs OezdemirPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight AN GO Nurmagomedov vs OmargadzhievPreliminary Card · Welterweight AP AD Petrosyan vs DobsonPreliminary Card · Middleweight MM MG Mokaev vs GordonPreliminary Card · Flyweight KR LL Rosa vs LänsbergPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Krylov v Oezdemir Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Krylov 7
3 Oezdemir
MUSFWW pick Krylov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Krylov 30-11 VS 20-8 Oezdemir
6'3" height 6'2"
205 lb weight 206 lb
78" reach 75"
34 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 5.0
55% striking accuracy 48%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
44% striking defence 55%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
38% takedown accuracy 29%
53% takedown defence 80%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DS Dynes Sports picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE “I think Volkan Oezdemir is probably the day for this age like Volkan Oezdemir in his um but at the same time I think Volkan Oezdemir Islam Makhachev when he strikes is a defensive law and could be even Islam Makhachev I think and Petrosian and AJ Dobson between Muhammad Mokaev and Malcolm Sean O'Malley and uh I forget who else but yeah Muhammad Mokaev is one of mine I've been on the credential Grappler and Charles Oliveira getting Malcolm Gordon here which feels division so I'm all over Muhammad Mokaev I'm going to be in boxing range Muhammad Mokaev's yeah there's so many paths for Muhammad Mokaev tune in for Karol Rosa versus Lena”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nikita Krylov “Nikita krylov wins here by you now Anonymous decision” $1.58
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nikita Krylov “I'm picking krylov with you bro” $1.56
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE “I think krylov can KO him” $2.40
WP We Want Picks picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I like Nikita Nikita Krylov in this fight um the issue is sometimes Nikita just does stupid [ __ ] right I mean sometimes Nikita just does stupid [ __ ] and if he just comes in here if Nikita takes his fight from Gustafson and he just copy and paste that game plan against Volkan Oezdemir that's where he's gonna find some issues”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I'm gonna go with Nikita krylov yeah and actually right before they both fought Paul Craig last and right before that uh was Mega Med and Goliath and osdemere just looked nervous and old”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I'm going to Ukrainian Nikita Krylov kryloff”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nikita Krylov “I'm gonna take Nikita Krylov”
1M 138 MMA picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE “I'm going to take ostomia here at this point in time”
TB Thiccc Boy picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “I'll probably say via finish”
WP We Want Picks picks Nikita Krylov “I have to go with cryolov because he is the more Dynamic Striker has the speed Advantage”
WP We Want Picks picks Volkan Oezdemir VALUE “I like Volkan Oezdemir in the underdog spot”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Krylov30-11
W Bukauskas KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
L Guskov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Spann Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Oezdemir Decision · R3 Oct '22
Oezdemir20-8
W Menifield KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Ulberg Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Walker KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Guskov Submission · R1 Sep '23
L Krylov Decision · R3 Oct '22