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UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Petrosyan v Dobson Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Petrosyan 3
4 Dobson
MFW pick Petrosyan
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Petrosyan 9-4 VS 7-3 Dobson
6'3" height 6'1"
186 lb weight 185 lb
71" reach 76"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.0 strikes landed / min 4.3
52% striking accuracy 46%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.3
53% striking defence 46%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
33% takedown accuracy 75%
31% takedown defence 65%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks AJ Dobson VALUE “I'm riding with the underdog AJ Dobson to win I'll lean it by decision” $2.80
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Armen Petrosyan “I'm gonna go petrosion” $1.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks AJ Dobson VALUE “I'm gonna lean AJ Dobson Dobson in this fight” $2.70
WP We Want Picks picks Armen Petrosyan VALUE “Armen Petrosyan is just such a good Striker I know we're in here in the in the chat before the stream started talking about Armen Petrosyan I think that this fight stays on the feet and AJ Dobson his flat-footed style I don't think he's hit live dog”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Armen Petrosyan VALUE “Armen Petrosyan 9100 talked about a little bit the guy's volume is top-notch he has a ton of power and and like I said earlier it's going to be an interesting fight because you know every single fight you watch a patrol and you know somebody's trying to take him down I just don't know if AJ Dobson's going to do that I actually think AJ Dobson is going to stand and bang with them which you know Armen Petrosyan has been knocked out before in the first round but um you know Armen Petrosyan should have the clear striking I mean this guy is striking is phenomenal”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks AJ Dobson VALUE “AJ AJ Dobson 7100 um yeah don't mind some AJ AJ Dobson here first round upside if he wins this fight it's gonna be first round knockout he goes out there he gets after it gets after it fast and armor Armen Petrosyan and his one finished loss it was in the first round for what it's worth and it was by knockout so um targeting that first round knockout upside for AJ AJ Dobson”
SD Santino DeFranco picks AJ Dobson VALUE “I like AJ Dobson here man I'm glad you said that I thought I was going to be on an island by myself over here because I like AJ Dobson for the upset”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks AJ Dobson VALUE “I'm going AJ AJ Dobson” $2.80
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Armen Petrosyan VALUE “I might go with Underdog Dobson” $3.75
1M 138 MMA picks AJ Dobson “I do like Petrosian here just a little bit”
WP We Want Picks picks Armen Petrosyan “I like Armen Petrosyan in this fight to pretty much dominate on the feet”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Armen Petrosyan VALUE “I am rolling with petrosion here” $1.43
Recent form last five, most recent first
Petrosyan9-4
L Ferreira Submission · R2 Mar '25
L Magomedov KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
L Vieira Submission · R1 Feb '24
W Duncan Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Dobson Decision · R3 Oct '22
Dobson7-3
L Petrosyan Decision · R3 Oct '22