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UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nunes v Peña Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus17 picks · conf 39/99
Nunes 9
8 Peña
UTDFWT pick Nunes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nunes 23-5 VS 13-5 Peña
5'8" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 135 lb
69" reach 69"
38 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.2
51% striking accuracy 44%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
57% striking defence 57%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
54% takedown accuracy 56%
82% takedown defence 23%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TT TFB's Talks picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “i'm going Amanda Nunes because outclass Julianna Peña”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “i have my money on Amanda Nunes you know this means legacy this this is it for her she already has the millions but at the end of the day Amanda Nunes is a better fighter in my opinion until proven otherwise so i think that was just a little hiccup for her and she's gonna bounce back now”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Amanda Nunes VALUE
OM One On One | MMA picks Julianna Peña VALUE “Julianna Peña being the mental giant that NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 is so confident in her own mind and then to go out and prove that to herself prove that to the world prove all of us including me to be completely wrong you want to talk about confidence coming into a fight being able to replay that gopro footage in your mind that view that NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 had of being on Amanda Nunes's back not having hooks in getting her to tap watching her punches affect her you don't get a bigger asset coming into a fight than that”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “i got surgery knockout or just even moneyline to be safe”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Julianna Peña VALUE “now on which side i'm gonna go with Julianna Peñaa she have the momentum you know uh and she has plus 230 you know like i like to go for the underdogs and play around if you want to make some money you want to get there i like Julianna Peña in this fight too” $3.30
MJ MMA JOEY picks Julianna Peña “and i have nunes but it wouldn't shock me if Julianna Peña won”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Julianna Peña VALUE “I like Pata in this fight too um but I also like that you know noodles didn't make any excuses like you said uh for that first fight but people that are close to kind of like both camps I've heard in like interviews um Nunez didn't have a fight camp for that first one” $3.30
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Amanda Nunes “man this is crazy crazy that they're still putting uh Nunez as a pretty big favorite I think um but I guess with her history it makes sense” $1.36
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “i like Amanda Nunes for that early finish upside and then uh yeah if payne is still there after a couple rounds if Amanda Nunes does start to slow down i think Julianna Peña is live for a late finisher and owner right so a fight where i i do have both sides here more so on the nunia side myself” $1.40
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Amanda Nunes VALUE “my prediction is going to be Amanda Nunes to fix that loss i think she's going to break the face of Julianna Peña in this rematch” $3.00
HB Half The Battle picks Julianna Peña VALUE “so i'm going Julianna Peña to defeat Amanda Nunes nunez and still the bantamweight champion of the world” $3.45
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nunes23-5
W Aldana Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Peña Decision · R5 Jul '22
L Peña Submission · R2 Dec '21
W Anderson Submission · R1 Mar '21
W Spencer Decision · R5 Jun '20
Peña13-5
L Harrison Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Pennington Decision · R5 Oct '24
L Nunes Decision · R5 Jul '22
W Nunes Submission · R2 Dec '21
W McMann Submission · R3 Jan '21