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Nunes vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BM
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Moreno vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
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DL
Pavlovich vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight
AP
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Pantoja vs PerezMain Card · Flyweight
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Ankalaev vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Morono vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Dober vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Abdelwahab vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Klose vs GarcíaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Morales vs FugittEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Edwards vs KimEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
NN
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Negumereanu vs PotieriaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OC
MM
Cosce vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JP
Nunes vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BM
KK
Moreno vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
SP
DL
Pavlovich vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight
AP
AP
Pantoja vs PerezMain Card · Flyweight
MA
AS
Ankalaev vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
MS
Morono vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DD
RA
Dober vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
HA
DM
Abdelwahab vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
DK
RG
Klose vs GarcíaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MM
AF
Morales vs FugittEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JE
JK
Edwards vs KimEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
NN
IP
Negumereanu vs PotieriaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OC
MM
Cosce vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Moreno v Kara-France
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Moreno 23-9-2
VS
25-11 Kara-France
5'7"
height
5'4"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
70"
reach
69"
32
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.0
strikes landed / min
4.6
43%
striking accuracy
39%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
60%
striking defence
65%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
46%
takedown accuracy
33%
64%
takedown defence
88%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TT
TFB's Talks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“Brandon Moreno and Amanda Nunes”
TFB's Talks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“Brandon Moreno and Amanda Nunes”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“brian Alex Morono is is likely in the driver's seat here on route to a win unless kykar france runs in and throws hands like he did against cody garbrandt but these thoughts look good they look solid for both guys you know this is gonna be a hell of a fight can't wait nice respectful guys too both parties official face off Alex Morono feels like he has this one Kai Kara-France is not backing down it's not over yet so gonna be a great great fight tune in to this one for sure”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“brian Alex Morono is is likely in the driver's seat here on route to a win unless kykar france runs in and throws hands like he did against cody garbrandt but these thoughts look good they look solid for both guys you know this is gonna be a hell of a fight can't wait nice respectful guys too both parties official face off Alex Morono feels like he has this one Kai Kara-France is not backing down it's not over yet so gonna be a great great fight tune in to this one for sure”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“he's gonna go after those takedowns to like you know secure the win so i got Brandon Moreno money line i'm not gonna overthink it that's who i got”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“he's gonna go after those takedowns to like you know secure the win so i got Brandon Moreno money line i'm not gonna overthink it that's who i got”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Brandon Moreno
“even though it's minus 110 i'm gonna go with Brandon Moreno on this one”
$1.48
101MMA Clinic picks Brandon Moreno
“even though it's minus 110 i'm gonna go with Brandon Moreno on this one”
$1.48
WP
We Want Picks picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“i think Kai Kara-France who i think wins has very good takedown defense”
We Want Picks picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“i think Kai Kara-France who i think wins has very good takedown defense”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i think Alexandre Pantoja wins and Brandon Moreno wins boom you got a match right there”
101MMA Clinic picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i think Alexandre Pantoja wins and Brandon Moreno wins boom you got a match right there”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i do believe that Brandon Moreno is going to win this match up i really do i think he's going to win it by decision i think it's going to be a fighter tonight 100 i think it's going to be a great scrap i just don't see cara france finishing moreno and i can see him landing a little bit too much early on on moreno and i can see moreno rallying back in the third fourth and fifth to get himself a 48-47 unanimous decision win”
THE MMA GURU picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i do believe that Brandon Moreno is going to win this match up i really do i think he's going to win it by decision i think it's going to be a fighter tonight 100 i think it's going to be a great scrap i just don't see cara france finishing moreno and i can see him landing a little bit too much early on on moreno and i can see moreno rallying back in the third fourth and fifth to get himself a 48-47 unanimous decision win”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i just like moreno here for the five round aspect of things and of course i'll have some car france i do think this fight is competitive i do think this fight does go five rounds and i do think that volume is going to add up”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i just like moreno here for the five round aspect of things and of course i'll have some car france i do think this fight is competitive i do think this fight does go five rounds and i do think that volume is going to add up”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“my prediction is going to be kayakara france as an underdog again”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“my prediction is going to be kayakara france as an underdog again”
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
HB
Half The Battle picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i'm going to lean Brandon Moreno to become the interim uh flyweight champion”
Half The Battle picks Brandon Moreno VALUE
“i'm going to lean Brandon Moreno to become the interim uh flyweight champion”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Moreno23-9-2
L
Kavanagh
Feb '26
L
Taira
Dec '25
W
Erceg
Mar '25
W
Albazi
Nov '24
L
Royval
Feb '24
Kara-France25-11
L
Pantoja
Jun '25
W
Erceg
Aug '24
L
Albazi
Jun '23
L
Moreno
Jul '22
W
Askarov
Mar '22