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Dober vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pantoja v Perez
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5
VS
26-10 Perez
5'5"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
128 lb
67"
reach
65"
36
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.2
49%
striking accuracy
46%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
50%
striking defence
58%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
47%
takedown accuracy
46%
68%
takedown defence
77%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TT
TFB's Talks picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“i'm going Alexandre Pantoja”
TFB's Talks picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“i'm going Alexandre Pantoja”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“i like uh Alexandre Pantoja's side here he got the choke against Brandon Moreno Alex Perez hasn't fought in two years and his last fight was a guillotine choke loss to figuero yeah it's high competition high level but you know two years off not a good idea when when you got to come in and fight pantoja so pantoja he's a he's a mean guy and i really see him getting the finish here this weekend and i'm gonna lock that one up”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“i like uh Alexandre Pantoja's side here he got the choke against Brandon Moreno Alex Perez hasn't fought in two years and his last fight was a guillotine choke loss to figuero yeah it's high competition high level but you know two years off not a good idea when when you got to come in and fight pantoja so pantoja he's a he's a mean guy and i really see him getting the finish here this weekend and i'm gonna lock that one up”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Perez VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Amanda Nunes”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Perez VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Amanda Nunes”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Alex Perez VALUE
“i'm putting my money that uh Alex Perez will win this fight”
101MMA Clinic picks Alex Perez VALUE
“i'm putting my money that uh Alex Perez will win this fight”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“so we are both on Alexandre you said submission oh yeah submission rear naked choke before the third round first or second round I think I'm gonna go with with kotko I think it's gonna be a ground and pound after after he cashed him with the right not a bad call uh let's go to the next one”
$1.57
101MMA Clinic picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“so we are both on Alexandre you said submission oh yeah submission rear naked choke before the third round first or second round I think I'm gonna go with with kotko I think it's gonna be a ground and pound after after he cashed him with the right not a bad call uh let's go to the next one”
$1.57
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Alex Perez
“I think I'm gonna go with with kotko I think it's gonna be a ground and pound after after he cashed him with the right”
$2.50
101MMA Clinic picks Alex Perez
“I think I'm gonna go with with kotko I think it's gonna be a ground and pound after after he cashed him with the right”
$2.50
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Alexandre Pantoja
“then we can have Alexandre Pantoja if he beats Alex Perez then that can be the next matchup if perez wins maybe we can do the loser of this fight versus perez but if Alexandre Pantoja wins on this card i guess he can be like the short noticed replacement guy”
THE MMA GURU picks Alexandre Pantoja
“then we can have Alexandre Pantoja if he beats Alex Perez then that can be the next matchup if perez wins maybe we can do the loser of this fight versus perez but if Alexandre Pantoja wins on this card i guess he can be like the short noticed replacement guy”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alex Perez VALUE
“i'm gonna side with Alex Perez the underdog to show up after a year and a half and put on a nice performance in the striking”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alex Perez VALUE
“i'm gonna side with Alex Perez the underdog to show up after a year and a half and put on a nice performance in the striking”
HB
Half The Battle picks Alexandre Pantoja
“i'm gonna go with Alexandre Pantoja to come out here keep his top five spot and possibly talk about rematching two guys he already beat”
$1.54
Half The Battle picks Alexandre Pantoja
“i'm gonna go with Alexandre Pantoja to come out here keep his top five spot and possibly talk about rematching two guys he already beat”
$1.54
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Alexandre Pantoja
“give me pantoja to win the fight uh we'll take a look at the betting line right now pantoja's right around a minus 160 to a minus 170 favorite”
Walk The Line MMA picks Alexandre Pantoja
“give me pantoja to win the fight uh we'll take a look at the betting line right now pantoja's right around a minus 160 to a minus 170 favorite”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L
Van
Dec '25
W
Kara-France
Jun '25
W
Asakura
Dec '24
W
Erceg
May '24
W
Royval
Dec '23
Perez26-10
W
Johnson
Jan '26
L
Almabayev
Nov '25
L
Taira
Jun '24
W
Nicolau
Apr '24
L
Mokaev
Mar '24