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Pavlovich vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight
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Pantoja vs PerezMain Card · Flyweight
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Ankalaev vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Morono vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DD
RA
Dober vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
HA
DM
Abdelwahab vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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RG
Klose vs GarcíaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Morales vs FugittEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Edwards vs KimEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Negumereanu vs PotieriaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Cosce vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Morales v Fugitt
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Morales 18-0
VS
10-5 Fugitt
6'0"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
79"
reach
77"
27
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.4
strikes landed / min
4.7
48%
striking accuracy
45%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
52%
striking defence
51%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
41%
takedown accuracy
29%
92%
takedown defence
50%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TT
TFB's Talks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i said Anthony Smith now i'm double going Michael Morales”
TFB's Talks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i said Anthony Smith now i'm double going Michael Morales”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michael Morales
“i'm going with the big favorite but i'm definitely not putting money on that that is way too wide for me but i can definitely see Michael Morales getting this done without uh too much problems coming his way so let's let's go with Michael Morales let's go with Michael Morales for a potential knockout”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michael Morales
“i'm going with the big favorite but i'm definitely not putting money on that that is way too wide for me but i can definitely see Michael Morales getting this done without uh too much problems coming his way so let's let's go with Michael Morales let's go with Michael Morales for a potential knockout”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i think he's gonna pull this one out another one of those fights where you don't overthink it yeah um you know the russian dudes they don't [__] around but either way Anthony Smith no disrespect to anthony's myth he's [__] he's raw we know that he stood up with a bunch of big guys in the division um yeah give me Michael Morales bit here by the points too hell yeah Alex Perez for that one we both got Michael Morales back to win by decision”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i think he's gonna pull this one out another one of those fights where you don't overthink it yeah um you know the russian dudes they don't [__] around but either way Anthony Smith no disrespect to anthony's myth he's [__] he's raw we know that he stood up with a bunch of big guys in the division um yeah give me Michael Morales bit here by the points too hell yeah Alex Perez for that one we both got Michael Morales back to win by decision”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i personally think Michael Morales does finish this fight very early and probably in the very first round it's a tough match for fuji coming in here on short notice and just a very tough matchup for fugan in general um i don't see fugat having any success with the wrestling with the grappling um and i think on the feed i favor Michael Morales and this guy hits hard so i think Michael Morales knocks out a few in the very first round i do like me some route Michael Morales”
$1.35
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i personally think Michael Morales does finish this fight very early and probably in the very first round it's a tough match for fuji coming in here on short notice and just a very tough matchup for fugan in general um i don't see fugat having any success with the wrestling with the grappling um and i think on the feed i favor Michael Morales and this guy hits hard so i think Michael Morales knocks out a few in the very first round i do like me some route Michael Morales”
$1.35
WP
We Want Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i think morales is better literally everywhere probably gets a stoppage”
We Want Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE
“i think morales is better literally everywhere probably gets a stoppage”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Michael Morales
“i think that he gets the job done here i think that he'll get the better of the striking exchanges against Adam Fugitt”
Walk The Line MMA picks Michael Morales
“i think that he gets the job done here i think that he'll get the better of the striking exchanges against Adam Fugitt”
TF
The ICE Files picks Michael Morales
“I'm going with the 13-0 Michael Morales on this one”
The ICE Files picks Michael Morales
“I'm going with the 13-0 Michael Morales on this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Morales18-0
W
Brady
Nov '25
W
Burns
May '25
W
Magny
Aug '24
W
Matthews
Nov '23
W
Griffin
Jul '23
Fugitt10-5
L
Miller
Jan '26
L
Dulatov
Jul '25
W
Quinlan
Jun '24
L
Malott
Jun '23
W
Kinoshita
Feb '23