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Nunes vs PeñaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Moreno vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
SP
DL
Pavlovich vs LewisMain Card · Heavyweight
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AP
Pantoja vs PerezMain Card · Flyweight
MA
AS
Ankalaev vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
MS
Morono vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DD
RA
Dober vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
HA
DM
Abdelwahab vs MayesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
DK
RG
Klose vs GarcíaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MM
AF
Morales vs FugittEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JE
JK
Edwards vs KimEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
NN
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Negumereanu vs PotieriaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OC
MM
Cosce vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ankalaev v Smith
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ankalaev 21-2-1
VS
38-20 Smith
6'3"
height
6'4"
204 lb
weight
206 lb
75"
reach
76"
34
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
3.2
65%
striking accuracy
49%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
54%
striking defence
46%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
35%
takedown accuracy
26%
84%
takedown defence
50%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TT
TFB's Talks picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“Anthony Smith is only 34. he's not that i'll go just Anthony Smith because i”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Anthony Smith
“i'm probably going Magomed Ankalaev by decision but Anthony Smith is tough to count out”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i think he's live for a finish here so i'm gonna be taking a look at Magomed Ankalaev 9400 i think he's live for a knockout on the feet and i think he's live to go for takedowns here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Magomed Ankalaev
“my prediction with this match up i'm gonna side with Magomed Ankalaev and goliath to win this fight”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev
“i'm obviously going to be picking magnum and Magomed Ankalaev this is a fighter that i said uh was going to be a future champion for a long time now”
TB
Thiccc Boy picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm taking Anthony Smith”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Magomed Ankalaev
“i do like Magomed Ankalaev in a kind of boring slash slow slash technical striking match-up i just think this fight favors mogamoto live so much... i've got Magomed Ankalaev by decision”
TF
The ICE Files picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I'm going with Magomed Ankalaev Ankalaev on this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ankalaev21-2-1
L
Pereira
Oct '25
W
Pereira
Mar '25
W
Rakić
Oct '24
W
Walker
Jan '24
W
Smith
Jul '22
Smith38-20
L
Mingyang
Apr '25
L
Reyes
Dec '24
L
Dolidze
Jun '24
W
Petrino
May '24
L
Rountree Jr.
Dec '23