UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · breakdown
UFC Vegas 106: Burns vs Morales Predictions & Betting Breakdown
AF
Alex Talks Fights59% hit
13 months ago
6W–4L · -1.6u
10/12 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TP
Tecia Pennington
v Luana Pinheiro
MONEYLINE
WON
Tecia Pennington
v Luana Pinheiro
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm [ __ ] going. Tecia Pennington [ __ ] Tecia Pennington.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.29
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
PH
Park Hyun-sung
v Carlos Hernandez
MONEYLINE
WON
Park Hyun-sung
v Carlos Hernandez
MONEYLINE
WON
“In this fight, I'm going Park Hyun-sung.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.57
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.19
→
close$1.19
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.63
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
MC
Matheus Camilo
v Gabriel Green
MONEYLINE
LOST
Matheus Camilo
v Gabriel Green
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think Camilo is going to be able to get it done.”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.46
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
WON
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
WON
“In this fight, I'm going Melquizael Costa.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.59
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
MS
Mairon Santos
v Sodiq Yusuff
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Mairon Santos
v Sodiq Yusuff
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think we're going to see a first round finish for Rosie Boy.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.80
→
close$1.76
Santos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.36
SY
Sodiq Yusuff
v Mairon Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Sodiq Yusuff
v Mairon Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go Sodiq Yusuff to get it done.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$2.20
→
close$2.35
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
RB
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
“I'm going Rodolfo Bellato to get the win by a finish.”
Analyst’s stated line
$1.18
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
MM
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm going with Michael Morales to get the win by a finish.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.14
→
close$1.18
Morales’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.12
YV
Yadier Del Valle
v Connor Matthews
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
—
Yadier Del Valle
v Connor Matthews
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
—
“I'm going Yadier Del Valle... I can see Yadier Yadier Del Yadier Del Vallelle getting the K.O in this one.”
Analyst’s stated line
$1.23
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
TM
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm going to go Thiago Moisés Moisés to get the win by a KO or TKO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$2.15
Moisés’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.98