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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown

UFC 324 Full Card Predictions: Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett

WA WalkerMMA62% hit
5 months ago 5W–6L · -0.2u 11/14 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TM Ty Miller v Adam Fugitt PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going Ty Miller by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.28 → close$1.28
Miller’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RT Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman MONEYLINE
“but Ricky Turcios is a little bit”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.70 → now$2.66
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
JH Josh Hokit v Denzel Freeman MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going with Josh Hokit there.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.47 → close$1.47
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AH Alexander Hernandez v Michael Johnson MONEYLINE
“The model likes Alexander Hernandez”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −17%
◆ entry$1.67 → now$2.02
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CJ Charles Johnson v Alex Perez MONEYLINE LOST
“really Charles Johnson's break here”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.56 → close$1.61
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
AG Ateba Gautier v Andrey Pulyaev MONEYLINE WON
“And so Ateba Gautier”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.15 → close$1.13
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JS Jean Silva v Arnold Allen MONEYLINE WON
“why I'm going with Jean Silva.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.42 → close$1.43
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
SO Sean O'Malley v Song Yadong MONEYLINE WON
“gonna go with Sean O'Malley, man.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.52 → close$1.53
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
NS Natália Silva v Rose Namajunas MONEYLINE WON —
“you know, Natália Silva, that Natália Silva can't match with”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.25 → close$1.30
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MB Modestas Bukauskas v Nikita Krylov MONEYLINE LOST —
“I see Modestas Bukauskas being able to do that, Modestas Bukauskas should be able to”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.74 → close$1.78
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis PROP · SUBMISSION LOST —
“the model likes Waldo Cortes-Acosta via a third round sub. ... I'm going with Waldo Cortes-Acosta here.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 → close$1.33
Cortes-Acosta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
PP Paddy Pimblett v Justin Gaethje PROP · SUBMISSION LOST —
“that's why I'm going with Paddy Pimblett. ... Paddy Pimblett by second round sub.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.50 → close$1.48
Pimblett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KH Kayla Harrison v Amanda Nunes MONEYLINE —
“Of Amanda Nunes and Kayla Harrison being shows that somebody like”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53 → now$1.53
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
DF Deiveson Figueiredo v Umar Nurmagomedov PROP · SUBMISSION LOST —
“submitted by Deiveson Figueiredo probably. Um and so get some good underdog money on Deiveson Figueiredo”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$11.00 → close$11.00
Figueiredo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted