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Work Break MMA
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown

UFC 324 Predictions, breakdowns, and bets!!!

WM Work Break MMA 69% hit
5 months ago 4W–7L · +8.0u 11/14 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TM Ty Miller v Adam Fugitt PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to go with uh Ty Miller to win this fight by a decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.32 → close$1.28
Miller’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RT Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman PROP · DECISION VALUE
“overall I think this is going to be a very heavy clinch and wrestle fest from Ricky Ricky Turcios to get a decision win.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.75 → now$2.66
Turcios’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JH Josh Hokit v Denzel Freeman PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think Josh Hokit will find a KO shot in round two.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.50 → close$1.47
Hokit’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $9.00
AH Alexander Hernandez v Michael Johnson PROP · KO/TKO
“Give me Alexander Hernandez to get this fight done by second round TKO.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −21%
◆ entry$1.59 → now$2.02
Hernandez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MB Modestas Bukauskas v Nikita Krylov PROP · DECISION LOST
“give me Modestas Bukauskas to win this fight by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.66 → close$1.78
Bukauskas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AG Ateba Gautier v Andrey Pulyaev PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Nataba Ateba Gautier is going to win this fight by first round knockout.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.12 → close$1.13
Gautier’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
UN Umar Nurmagomedov v Deiveson Figueiredo PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“round two submission is my prediction for this fight.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.07 → close$1.07
Nurmagomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NS Natália Silva v Rose Namajunas PROP · DECISION WON
“Give me Silva by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.32 → close$1.30
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JS Jean Silva v Arnold Allen PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm gonna personally go with TKO, though uh in round three”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.45 → close$1.43
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm going to go with Waldo Cortes-Acosta Cortez Aosta to win this fight by knockout in round one.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.35 → close$1.33
Cortes-Acosta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SO Sean O'Malley v Song Yadong PROP · DECISION WON
“My prediction is going to be Sean O'Malley by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.54 → close$1.53
O'Malley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KH Kayla Harrison v Amanda Nunes PROP · DECISION
“Kayla Harrison will win this fight by decision.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53 → now$1.53
Harrison’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
PP Paddy Pimblett v Justin Gaethje PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“Paddy Pimblett becoming the new interim lightweight champion and ending out the first Paramount card under the new UFC deal.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.50 → close$1.48
Pimblett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CJ Charles Johnson v Alex Perez PROP · KO/TKO LOST —
“Charles Johnson winning this fight by TKO in round two or three. ... round three TKO”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.54 → close$1.61
Johnson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted