UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown

UFC 324 - Full card picks

5 months ago 6W–8L · -1.6u 14/16 graded

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

Cameron Smotherman v Ricky Turcios MONEYLINE

“Cameron Smotherman's going to win this.”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV −2%

◆ entry$1.53 → now$1.56

entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish

Natália Silva v Rose Namajunas MONEYLINE WON

“think Natália Silva wins this fight.”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$1.32 → close$1.30

entry: TAB · best in any region at publish

Josh Hokit v Denzel Freeman MONEYLINE WON

“think Josh Hokit's got the the whole package”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$1.50 → close$1.47

entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish

Alex Perez v Charles Johnson PROP · DECISION LOST

“but Alex Perez by decision is is”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +6%

◆ entry$2.75 → close$2.60

Perez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Charles Johnson v Alex Perez MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm going to lean Charles Johnson here”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV −4%

◆ entry$1.54 → close$1.61

entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish

Ateba Gautier v Andrey Pulyaev MONEYLINE WON

“you got to ride Ateba Gautier”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.12 → close$1.13

entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish

Deiveson Figueiredo v Umar Nurmagomedov MONEYLINE LOST

“Deiveson Figueiredo is going to win this fight.”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$11.00 → close$11.00

entry: Hard Rock Bet · best in any region at publish

Umar Nurmagomedov v Deiveson Figueiredo MONEYLINE WON

“the picks Umar Nurmagomedov”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +1%

◆ entry$1.08 → close$1.07

entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish

Modestas Bukauskas v Nikita Krylov PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“I'm picking Modestas Bukauskas”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −3%

◆ entry$1.73 → close$1.78

Bukauskas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Jean Silva v Arnold Allen PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“I'm gonna pick Jean Silva”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.42 → close$1.43

Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis PROP · KO/TKO WON

“I'm picking Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win and I think Derrick Lewis is a quitter. So I think it's Waldo Cortes-Acosta by finish.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$1.35 → close$1.33

Cortes-Acosta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.33

Song Yadong v Sean O'Malley MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm gonna take Song Yadong anyways.”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV −5%

◆ entry$2.75 → close$2.90

entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish

Paddy Pimblett v Justin Gaethje PROP · KO/TKO LOST —

“Paddy Pimblett will will get the finish. Whether I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +1%

◆ entry$1.50 → close$1.48

Pimblett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.47

Justin Gaethje v Paddy Pimblett PROP · DECISION WON —

“I'm taking Justin Gaethje. ... I'm sprinkling Justin Gaethje by decision.”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$3.00 → close$3.00

Gaethje’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00

Michael Johnson v Alexander Hernandez MONEYLINE —

“So I'm Michael Johnson”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +17%

◆ entry$2.66 → now$2.27

entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish

Adam Fugitt v Ty Miller MONEYLINE LOST —

“I'm going to side with Adam Fugitt at plus 135”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV −19%

◆ entry$4.25 → close$5.25

entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish