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UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown

UFC 319 Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev BEST BETS! | UFC Picks & Preview | The Action Network

TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips49% hit
10 months ago 10W–10L · +10.5u 20/22 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AP Aaron Pico v Lerone Murphy MONEYLINE LOST
“Aaron Pico for me, one of the more high-level wrestlers that have come into the UFC in a little bit just in terms of his skill set.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68 → close$1.68
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
LM Lerone Murphy v Aaron Pico MONEYLINE WON
“You're going with Lerone Murphy pre-fight, though the line has moved in a little bit.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$2.47 → close$2.65
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
JA Jéssica Andrade v Loopy Godinez MONEYLINE VALUE
“I projected Andra's by decision at plus 170. You can bet it as high as plus 270.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +34%
◆ entry$3.15 → now$2.35
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
GN Geoff Neal v Carlos Prates PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“We like for this week between Geoff Neal and Carlos Prates the under two and a half rounds at minus 122.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.15 → close$3.35
Neal’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.82
CP Carlos Prates v Geoff Neal MONEYLINE WON
“I like patches here and I think he's going to win. I think if he wins it's probably with a knockout.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.48 → close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AH Alexander Hernandez v Chase Hooper MONEYLINE WON
“Alexander Hernandez often a fast starter, typically wins round one, typically hurts his opponent in round one and then declines.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.64 → close$3.85
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KA Kai Asakura v Tim Elliott PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think he clips Tim Elliott, hurts him early, and puts him away.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.35 → close$1.35
Asakura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TE Tim Elliott v Kai Asakura PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“I think there's value both on Ocuro by KO and Tim Elliott submission plus 150, plus 850 respectively.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.85 → close$3.85
Elliott’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $9.50
JC Jared Cannonier v Michael Page MONEYLINE LOST
“I think against the guy who can move well, who has the speed advantage like Michael Page, Jared Cannonier up against the fence or as I said take him down.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.82 → close$2.84
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
MP Michael Page v Jared Cannonier MONEYLINE WON
“I like Michael Page by decision at around plus 120.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56 → close$1.56
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
AI Alibi Idiris v Joseph Morales MONEYLINE LOST
“One is the tough fight between Joseph Morales and Alibi Idiris.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.31 → close$1.31
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
JM Joseph Morales v Alibi Idiris MONEYLINE WON
“One is the tough fight between Joseph Morales and Alibi Idiris.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −13%
◆ entry$4.55 → close$5.25
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
BS Baysangur Susurkaev v Eric Nolan MONEYLINE WON
“Opened minus 850 against Eric Nolan.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.06 → close$1.13
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
EN Eric Nolan v Baysangur Susurkaev MONEYLINE LOST
“Against Eric Nolan, the CSFC champion for Saturday.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$8.45 → close$8.50
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
EB Edson Barboza v Drakkar Klose MONEYLINE LOST
“My model says go says close and goes to decision.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.82 → close$1.82
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
DK Drakkar Klose v Edson Barboza MONEYLINE WON
“I'm an Eden Dione Barbosa fan and both of these guys are decrepit and fragile.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.23 → close$2.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
DP Dricus du Plessis v Khamzat Chimaev MONEYLINE LOST —
“I think Dricus du Plessis is a phenomenal champion and if this fight does extend, I think he will have opportunities to either close the show or win minutes down the stretch.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −11%
◆ entry$3.08 → close$3.46
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KC Khamzat Chimaev v Dricus du Plessis MONEYLINE WON —
“I'm going with Hamzach in any of the first three rounds. That's even money at FanDuel.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.49 → close$1.50
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
DB Dione Barbosa v Karine Silva MONEYLINE LOST —
“I make Barb bar Dione Barbosa about plus 140. I also make her decision prop about plus 200.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.86 → close$2.90
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KS Karine Silva v Dione Barbosa MONEYLINE WON —
“I make Barb bar Dione Barbosa about plus 140, but for Karine Silva, it's a close fight expected to decision.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.54 → close$1.55
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CH Chase Hooper v Alexander Hernandez PROP · KO/TKO LOST —
“I like Chase Hooper inside the distance at plus 114.”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38 → close$1.38
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.14
LG Loopy Godinez v Jéssica Andrade MONEYLINE —
“I'm on the Andra side as well, but for Loopy Godinez, it's about the matchup dynamics.”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.74 → now$1.77
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish